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Nov 05, 2021

Canada Goose (GOOS, $48.31) beats Q2 exoectations

Canada Goose  jumped on Friday,  after the apparel company reported an unexpected profit for the second quarter. It also boosted its full-year earnings guidance.

For the fiscal 2022 second quarter ended Sept. 26, the company’s adjusted earnings came in at 12 cents, compared to the -10 cent loss expected by FactSet analyst.

Revenue grew +25% from the year-ago quarter to C$232.9 million, exceeding analysts’ estimate of C$206.1 million.

Looking ahead, Canada Goose projects full-year fiscal 2022 adjusted EPS range of C$1.17 to C$1.33, higher than the analyst consensus of $1.15.

The company is  expecting revenue of C$1.13 billion to C$1.18 billion, up from the prior projection of C$1 billion. This is also above =analysts’ prediction of C$1.1 billion.

Related Ticker: GOOS

GOOS in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 15, 2024

GOOS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 47 cases where GOOS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 15 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOS advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOS as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOOS turned negative on October 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GOOS moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOOS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GOOS entered a downward trend on November 01, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. GOOS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.070) is normal, around the industry mean (3.051). P/E Ratio (33.973) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). GOOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.359) is also within normal values, averaging (1.481).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GOOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE), Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX), VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 6.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.24B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.24B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. VFC experienced the highest price growth at 26%, while RCKY experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -34% and the average quarterly volume growth was 21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of outerwear for men, women and children

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
250 Bowie Avenue
Phone
+1 416 780-9850
Employees
4760
Web
https://www.canadagoose.com
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