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Nov 05, 2021
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Canada Goose (GOOS, $48.31) beats Q2 exoectations

Canada Goose (GOOS, $48.31) beats Q2 exoectations

Canada Goose  jumped on Friday,  after the apparel company reported an unexpected profit for the second quarter. It also boosted its full-year earnings guidance.

For the fiscal 2022 second quarter ended Sept. 26, the company’s adjusted earnings came in at 12 cents, compared to the -10 cent loss expected by FactSet analyst.

Revenue grew +25% from the year-ago quarter to C$232.9 million, exceeding analysts’ estimate of C$206.1 million.

Looking ahead, Canada Goose projects full-year fiscal 2022 adjusted EPS range of C$1.17 to C$1.33, higher than the analyst consensus of $1.15.

The company is  expecting revenue of C$1.13 billion to C$1.18 billion, up from the prior projection of C$1 billion. This is also above =analysts’ prediction of C$1.1 billion.

Related Ticker: GOOS

GOOS sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GOOS saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 28, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 55 cases where GOOS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOS as a result. In 68 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

GOOS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

GOOS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOOS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +1.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOS advanced for three days, in 177 of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 102 of 142 cases where GOOS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. GOOS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.493) is normal, around the industry mean (2.769). P/E Ratio (13.627) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.098). GOOS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.220) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.686). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.257) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.664) is also within normal values, averaging (0.827).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GOOS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 3.04B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 25.98B. HMRZF holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.98B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. COLM experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while PLCE experienced the biggest fall at -60%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was 14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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GOOS
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of outerwear for men, women and children

Industry ApparelFootwear

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
100 Queens Quay East
Phone
+1 416 780-9850
Employees
4552
Web
https://www.canadagoose.com
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