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May 29, 2020

Canopy Growth (CGC, $17.23) reports wider-than-expected loss for fiscal Q4

Canopy Growth reported a wider-than-anticipated loss for its fiscal fourth quarter.

The cannabis company’s  net loss for the quarter came in at - C$3.72 a share, compared to the -44 cents a share loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet. The loss included C$743 million in impairment and restructuring charges, most of which are non-cash. The year-ago quarter’s loss was -C$1.10 a share.

However, sales increased to C$115.1 million (from the year-ago quarter’s C$106.5 million).

Due to the coronavirus pandemic, Canopy is withdrawing its prior guidance for positive adjusted EBITDA and net income.

Tickeron's A.I.-powered scorecard rates Canopy Growth a STRONG BUY.

Current price $17.18 crossed the support line at $17.64 and is trading between $17.64 support and $15.10 support lines. Throughout the month of 04/27/20 - 05/28/20, the price experienced a +24% Uptrend. During the week of 05/20/20 - 05/28/20, the stock enjoyed a +28% Uptrend growth.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 67 of 87 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where CGC's MACD histogram became positive, in 37 of 45 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on April 28, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 10 of 13 similar cases where CGC's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 228 similar cases where CGC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 42 cases where CGC's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 72%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.99 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.87) is normal, around the industry mean (1.09). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.33). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (115.92). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.05) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (25.30) is also within normal values, averaging (11.24).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: CGC

CGC's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for CGC moved out of overbought territory on April 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 22 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CGC as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGC turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CGC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

CGC moved above its 50-day moving average on March 20, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CGC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on March 25, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGC advanced for three days, in of 198 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 116 cases where CGC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.702) is normal, around the industry mean (48.543). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.883). CGC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.825). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.115) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.820) is also within normal values, averaging (61.364).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), Intra-Cellular Therapies (NASDAQ:ITCI), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY), Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

Pharmaceuticals (Other) comprise companies that are involved in the discovery, development or manufacturing of therapeutic and preventative medicines. They often collaborate with or acquire other pharmaceutical/healthcare firms. Examples of companies in this segment include Bausch Health Companies Inc., Icon Plc and Perrigo Company Plc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry is 2.8B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 246 to 77.48B. ZTS holds the highest valuation in this group at 77.48B. The lowest valued company is PEMTF at 246.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 28%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18,902%. RGC experienced the highest price growth at 46%, while SBFM experienced the biggest fall at -78%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 88
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: FARMING INDUSTRY
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General Information

a producer of medical marijuana

Industry PharmaceuticalsOther

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Agricultural Commodities Or Milling
Address
1 Hershey Drive
Phone
+1 855 558-9333
Employees
1621
Web
https://www.canopygrowth.com
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