Canopy Growth (CGC, $43.87) fiscal Q3 revenue beats analysts’ expectations
On Tuesday, Canadian cannabis company Canopy Growth reported fiscal third-quarter revenue that surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the company incurred a loss during the period.
The company’s revenue grew +23% year-over-year to a record-setting $152.5 million in the three months ending Dec. 31, 2020.
Canopy Growth’s fiscal third-quarter net loss came in at -C$829 million (-US$651.1 million), from $720 million in the year-ago quarter.
Adjusted earnings (loss) before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization for the quarter were -C$68 million vs. - C$97 million a year ago.
Analysts polled by Bloomberg expected revenue of $148.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of -$71.1 million.
Canopy expects to generate positive adjusted EBITDA during the second half of 2022, and 20 per cent adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2024. It projects positive operating cash flow for the full year of 2023, and positive free cash flow for the full year of 2024. The forecasts are based on Canopy’s cost savings strategy, and expectations for compound annual net revenue growth of 40 to 50 per cent between 2022 and 2024.
"We are executing against our cost savings program, with several initiatives already completed and more underway to build a leaner and more agile business," chief financial officer Mike Lee said.
There is a broader rally in Canadian cannabis shares, fueled by hopes for a policy shift in the U.S that would remove pot from the country’s list of Schedule 1 drugs.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for CGC turns negative, indicating new downward trend
CGC saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 76 of the 83 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGC turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
CGC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CGC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for CGC entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CGC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 41 of 44 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
CGC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CGC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 88 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.805) is normal, around the industry mean (43.873). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (141.710). CGC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.200) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.152). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.005) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.549) is also within normal values, averaging (178.797).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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a producer of medical marijuana
Industry PharmaceuticalsGeneric
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