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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 27, 2019

Capital One (COF, $93.73) exceeds Q1 earnings & revenue estimates

Capital One first quarter earnings surpassed expectations.

The bank holding company raked in adjusted earnings of $2.90 per share during the quarter, thereby substantially beating analysts' expectations of $2.68. Adjusted revenue of $7.08 billion also came in higher compared to the Street's $7.01 billion expectations. 

 Revenue, pre-provision earnings, and earnings per share all climbed from the year-ago quarter, as indicated by Capital One founder, chairman and CEO Richard D. Fairbank. While revenue rose +1% year-over-year, non-interest expenses got slashed by -11% in the company. 

Related Ticker: COF

COF in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025

COF moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 40 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COF as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COF turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for COF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for COF entered a downward trend on November 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where COF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COF advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.130) is normal, around the industry mean (12.194). P/E Ratio (69.253) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.278). COF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.546) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.329). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.008) is also within normal values, averaging (128.563).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Capital One Financial (NYSE:COF), PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF), SLM Corp (NASDAQ:SLM), Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:BFH), Qudian (NYSE:QD), LexinFintech Holdings Ltd (NASDAQ:LX).

Industry description

A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Savings Banks Industry is 20.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.55M to 624.84B. V holds the highest valuation in this group at 624.84B. The lowest valued company is DXF at 3.55M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. ZNKKY experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while LMFA experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Savings Banks Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 58% and the average quarterly volume growth was 74%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. COF showed earnings on October 21, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a major bank

Industry SavingsBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Banks
Address
1680 Capital One Drive
Phone
+1 703 720-1000
Employees
51987
Web
https://www.capitalone.com
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