Carnival (CCL, $18.63) misses fiscal Q1 expectations
Carnival Corporation & plc posted its first-quarter fiscal 2022 earnings that fell short of Zacks Consensus Estimate. Revenue, too, lagged expectations.
The cruise company’s loss came in at -$1.65 a share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of -$1.23. In the year-ago quarter, the company incurred a loss per share of -$1.79.
Revenues in the quarter were $1,623 million, below consensus estimate of $2,331 million. However, the figure is higher than the year-ago quarter’s $26 million. Passenger ticket and onboard and other revenues were $873 million and $750 million, respectively.
The company reiterated its expectations of a net loss for the second quarter and the full year of 2022. However, it projects a positive profit in the third quarter of fiscal 2022.
CCL in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on May 10, 2023
The 10-day moving average for CCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 10, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 04, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CCL as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCL just turned positive on May 02, 2023. Looking at past instances where CCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CCL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 50-day moving average for CCL moved above the 200-day moving average on May 18, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 226 cases where CCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CCL moved out of overbought territory on May 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.503) is normal, around the industry mean (10.568). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.881). CCL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.141). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.958) is also within normal values, averaging (29.015).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
an operator of luxury cruises ships
Industry OtherConsumerServices
CCL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCL has been closely correlated with NCLH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CCL jumps, then NCLH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL | 100% | +5.52% | ||
| NCLH - CCL | 89% Closely correlated | +4.44% | ||
| RCL - CCL | 87% Closely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| EXPE - CCL | 68% Closely correlated | +3.08% | ||
| TNL - CCL | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.96% | ||
| BKNG - CCL | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.64% | ||
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