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Jul 07, 2021

Carnival (CCL, $25.04) will buy back up to $2 billion of 11.5% senior secured notes due 2023

On Monday, Cruise company Carnival began a tender offer to purchase up to $2 billion of 11.5% senior secured notes due 2023. The company  could issue new first-priority debt to finance the buyback.

Carnival issued the notes in April 2020 to boost its cash reserves, as the COVID pandemic wreaked havoc on the cruise industry. The offer on the notes pays back holders $1.1125 on the dollar.

Last week, Carnival revealed that it may sell up to $500 million of shares, and would use the funds to buy ordinary shares of Carnival Plc, trading in the U.K., and for general purposes.

The company announced last month that it plans to have all 91 of its ships back to service by next spring.

Related Ticker: CCL

Momentum Indicator for CCL turns positive, indicating new upward trend

CCL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 69 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCL just turned positive on October 28, 2024. Looking at past instances where CCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 35 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where CCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where CCL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.188) is normal, around the industry mean (13.138). P/E Ratio (50.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.221). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (22.119).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Booking Holdings (null:BKNG), Royal Caribbean Group (null:RCL), Trip.com Group Limited (null:TCOM), Carnival Corp (null:CCL), Expedia Group (null:EXPE), WW International (null:WW).

Industry description

Other consumer services include companies that provide consumer services, and are not classified elsewhere. Travel fare aggregators, hotel bookings, consumer-to-consumer or business-to-business sales platforms are some examples of services that can be clubbed into this category. Many of such services have expanded online. Booking Holdings Inc, The Priceline Group Inc, and eBay Inc. are some major operators in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Other Consumer Services Industry is 9.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 158.6K to 121.92B. BKNG holds the highest valuation in this group at 121.92B. The lowest valued company is PRXIQ at 158.6K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. TUIFF experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while IVP experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Other Consumer Services Industry was -82%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 78
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
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CCL
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

an operator of luxury cruises ships

Industry OtherConsumerServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines
Address
3655 N.W. 87th Avenue
Phone
+1 305 599-2600
Employees
92000
Web
https://www.carnivalcorp.com
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