Carnival reported a fiscal fourth quarter loss narrower than anticipated by analysts. But revenue fell short of expectations.
The cruise operator incurred a loss of -85 cents per share, vs. the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of -89 cents (as reported by Zacks Equity Research). The figure is also narrower than the year-ago quarter’s loss per share of -$1.72 per share.
Revenues in the quarter rose to $3,839 million, from $1,287 million, but was lower than the consensus forecast of $3,959 million.
Carnival experienced accelerated booking volumes during the fiscal fourth quarter, on the back of relaxed protocols, opening of more markets for cruise travel and advertising strategies. North America and Australia segment's 2023 booking volumes are above 2019 levels, while those of Europe and Asia were lower than the same.
According to Carnival, its 2023 cumulative advanced booked position is above the historical ranges and at higher prices compared with 2019.
As of Nov 30, total customer deposits were $5.1 billion compared with $4.8 billion reported in the previous quarter, and $4.9 billion in 2019.
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
CCL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 35 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CCL as a result. In 51 of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCL just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where CCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +4.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in 220 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
CCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CCL entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 25 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.296) is normal, around the industry mean (24.492). P/E Ratio (9.973) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.914). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.769) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.178) is also within normal values, averaging (2.686).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of luxury cruises ships
Industry ConsumerSundries