GET DAILY SIGNALSCarnival (CCL, $7.64) posts narrower-than-expected loss
Carnival reported a fiscal fourth quarter loss narrower than anticipated by analysts. But revenue fell short of expectations.
The cruise operator incurred a loss of -85 cents per share, vs. the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of -89 cents (as reported by Zacks Equity Research). The figure is also narrower than the year-ago quarter’s loss per share of -$1.72 per share.
Revenues in the quarter rose to $3,839 million, from $1,287 million, but was lower than the consensus forecast of $3,959 million.
Carnival experienced accelerated booking volumes during the fiscal fourth quarter, on the back of relaxed protocols, opening of more markets for cruise travel and advertising strategies. North America and Australia segment's 2023 booking volumes are above 2019 levels, while those of Europe and Asia were lower than the same.
According to Carnival, its 2023 cumulative advanced booked position is above the historical ranges and at higher prices compared with 2019.
As of Nov 30, total customer deposits were $5.1 billion compared with $4.8 billion reported in the previous quarter, and $4.9 billion in 2019.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Aroon Indicator for CCL shows an upward move is likely
CCL's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 30, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 276 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 222 of the 276 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CCL as a result. In 54 of 68 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
CCL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +3.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in 218 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
CCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.783) is normal, around the industry mean (0.525). P/E Ratio (12.590) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.517). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.769) is also within normal values, averaging (1.617). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.190) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.178) is also within normal values, averaging (2.686).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of luxury cruises ships
Industry ConsumerSundries
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