Carnival (CCL, $7.64) posts narrower-than-expected loss
Carnival reported a fiscal fourth quarter loss narrower than anticipated by analysts. But revenue fell short of expectations.
The cruise operator incurred a loss of -85 cents per share, vs. the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of -89 cents (as reported by Zacks Equity Research). The figure is also narrower than the year-ago quarter’s loss per share of -$1.72 per share.
Revenues in the quarter rose to $3,839 million, from $1,287 million, but was lower than the consensus forecast of $3,959 million.
Carnival experienced accelerated booking volumes during the fiscal fourth quarter, on the back of relaxed protocols, opening of more markets for cruise travel and advertising strategies. North America and Australia segment's 2023 booking volumes are above 2019 levels, while those of Europe and Asia were lower than the same.
According to Carnival, its 2023 cumulative advanced booked position is above the historical ranges and at higher prices compared with 2019.
As of Nov 30, total customer deposits were $5.1 billion compared with $4.8 billion reported in the previous quarter, and $4.9 billion in 2019.
CCL in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025
The 10-day moving average for CCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CCL as a result. In of 65 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCL just turned positive on April 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where CCL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CCL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCL advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 275 cases where CCL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for CCL moved below the 200-day moving average on April 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CCL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.188) is normal, around the industry mean (13.519). P/E Ratio (50.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.817). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.802). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.910) is also within normal values, averaging (23.664).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of luxury cruises ships
Industry OtherConsumerServices