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Oct 28, 2019
Carpenter Technology (CRS, $$48.78) disappoints on fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue

Carpenter Technology (CRS, $$48.78) disappoints on fiscal Q1 earnings and revenue

Carpenter Technology’s fiscal first quarter earnings and revenue missed analysts’ expectations

The manufacturer of stainless steels and corrosion-resistant alloys reported adjusted earnings of 85 cents per share in the first quarter of fiscal 2020 (ended Sep 30, 2019), which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 89 cents. However, the figure is still higher than the year-ago quarter’s 65 cents per share.

Operating profit in the quarter rose +32.8% to $59.8 million. Operating margin climbed to 10.2% in the quarter, compared to the year-earlier quarter’s 7.9%.

Carpenter’s net sales increased +2.3% year over year to $585.4 million for the quarter, but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $593 million. Volumes fell - 5% year-over-year .

Sales from the company’s Specialty Alloys Operations segment increased year-over-year by + 3.3%. The segment sold 60,044 pounds, which is -4.2% lower than the prior-year quarter. Operating profit in this segment increased +53.4% year over year to $81 million, on the back of product mix strength.

Net sales in the Performance Engineered Products’ segment  declined -2.1% year over year for the quarter. The segment sold 3,250 pounds, +19% higher from the year-ago quarter. The segment incurred an operating loss of -$2 million.

Carpenter’s cash and cash equivalents of $25 million at the end of the fiscal first quarter, was higher than the $17 million recorded at the prior-year quarter’s end. Cash from operating activities declined to $0.7 million for the quarter from the year-earlier quarter’s $9.4 million.

Related Ticker: CRS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for CRS turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CRS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

CRS moved below its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CRS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CRS entered a downward trend on August 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 13 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRS advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CRS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CRS's P/B Ratio (10.953) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.438). P/E Ratio (46.804) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.102). CRS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.007). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.943) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.228).

Industry description

The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Metal Fabrication Industry is 5.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 723 to 56.71B. MEKTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 56.71B. The lowest valued company is BDGY at 723.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Metal Fabrication Industry was -8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. TG experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while OLOX experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Metal Fabrication Industry was 25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -67% and the average quarterly volume growth was -23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: -27 (-100 ... +100)
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a manufacturer of specialty metals

Industry MetalFabrication

Profile
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Industry
Metal Fabrication
Address
1735 Market Street
Phone
+1 610 208-2000
Employees
4500
Web
https://www.carpentertechnology.com
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