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Feb 28, 2021
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Carvana (CVNA, $283.57) gets rating boost from Morgan Stanley analyst

Carvana (CVNA, $283.57) gets rating boost from Morgan Stanley analyst

Carvana  got a rating upgrade from Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas who also almost doubled his price target on the  online used-car retailer’s shares.

Jonas raised his rating on Carvana to  overweight from equal weight. He boosted price target to  a Wall Street high of $420 from $225.

This followed Carvana’s earnings report that showed +65% year-over-year growth in revenue to $1.83 billion for the fourth quarter, beating analysts’ forecast of $1.6 billion. Net loss widened to -87 cents a share from -82 cents in the year-ago quarter.

According to Jonas, Carvana "is uniquely positioned to serve an automotive and transportation [addressable market] that goes far beyond the used-car market, driving potentially far higher growth that is not reflected in today’s share price.” He added, “In our opinion, describing Carvana as just a ‘used car dealer’ is like describing Amazon   nearly two decades ago as just an online bookseller.”

Related Ticker: CVNA

CVNA's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for CVNA entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 253 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 223 of the 253 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

CVNA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVNA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVNA as a result. In 57 of 69 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVNA just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVNA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

CVNA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in 268 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (12.205) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.454). P/E Ratio (30.568) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.731). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. CVNA's P/S Ratio (2.960) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.919).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Industry description

The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Automotive Aftermarket Industry is 4.62B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.57M to 49.16B. CVNA holds the highest valuation in this group at 49.16B. The lowest valued company is GORV at 1.57M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Automotive Aftermarket Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17%. CRMT experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while SDA experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Automotive Aftermarket Industry was 46%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 11 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a car dealer

Industry AutomotiveAftermarket

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
300 E. Rio Salado Parkway
Phone
+1 602 922-9866
Employees
23100
Web
https://www.carvana.com
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