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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Dec 07, 2022

Casey's(CASY, $229.96) beats Q2 earnings expectations, despite revenue miss

Casey's General Stores posted adjusted earnings of $3.67 per share for the quarter ended October, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.27 per share (according to Zacks Equity Research). Earnings were $2.59 per share a year ago.

Revenues of $3.98 billion for the quarter missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.14%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $3.26 billion. Inside Same-store sales climbed +7.9% year-over-year and 14.4% on a two-year stack basis.

The company updated its fiscal 2023 outlook, with current expectation of same-store inside sales to be approximately 5% to 7%. Total operating expense rise outlook is near the low end of the annual range which was approximately 9% to 10%. The tax rate is now expected to be between 24% and 25% for the year.

Related Ticker: CASY

CASY in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on January 31, 2025

The 10-day moving average for CASY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 31, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CASY as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CASY just turned positive on January 21, 2025. Looking at past instances where CASY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CASY moved above its 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CASY advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CASY moved out of overbought territory on February 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CASY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CASY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for CASY entered a downward trend on January 23, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CASY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.959) is normal, around the industry mean (12.572). P/E Ratio (25.056) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.860). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.144) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.809) is also within normal values, averaging (19.519).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), RH (NYSE:RH), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 9.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. JZXN experienced the highest price growth at 68%, while FTEL experienced the biggest fall at -77%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 62%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 52% and the average quarterly volume growth was 144%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -40 (-100 ... +100)
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CASY
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of convenience stores and gasoline stations

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Food Retail
Address
One Se Convenience Boulevard
Phone
+1 515 965-6100
Employees
42982
Web
https://www.caseys.com
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