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Dec 22, 2021
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Caterpillar (CAT, $203.07) got a rating upgrade from Bernstein analysts

Caterpillar (CAT, $203.07) got a rating upgrade from Bernstein analysts

Industrial equipment maker Caterpillar got a rating boost from Bernstein analysts.

The analysts raised their rating on Caterpillar’s shares to outperform from market perform.

Bernstein analyst Chad Dillard has a $240 price target on the stock.  According to Dillard, concern about the end of the machinery cycle in 2022 was overdone. The analyst said that expectations for Caterpillar were "low" and that it was an earlier-cycle stock in a mid-cycle sector. He further added that Caterpillar should be the largest beneficiary of looser monetary policy in China.

Related Ticker: CAT

CAT in +3.07% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 28, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in 279 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

CAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 204 of 306 cases where CAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAT as a result. In 34 of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 50%.

CAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The 50-day moving average for CAT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (14.760) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.425). P/E Ratio (26.682) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.372). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.435) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. CAT's P/S Ratio (4.892) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.169).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 23.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.64K to 286.26B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 286.26B. The lowest valued company is ZEVY at 2.64K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. CMCO experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while TWI experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 58%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 56% and the average quarterly volume growth was 48%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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CAT
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines and industrial gas turbines

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard
Phone
+1 972 891-7700
Employees
118000
Web
https://www.caterpillar.com
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Caterpillar (CAT, $203.07) got a rating upgrade from Bernstein analysts