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May 24, 2023

Caterpillar (CAT): A.I.dvisor Predicts Downtrend Continuation with Bearish Signals

At Tickeron, we believe in unleashing the power of artificial intelligence to enhance trading decisions, and our marketing team plays a pivotal role in sharing this vision with the world.

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) as we delve into its current market outlook. Recent analysis by A.I.dvisor indicates that CAT has entered a bearish trend, signaling the potential for a downtrend continuation. In this blog post, we will uncover the key factors contributing to this prediction and explore the historical data and statistical probabilities provided by A.I.dvisor, suggesting a high likelihood of further downward movement in CAT's price.

 Before we delve into the specifics, it is important to grasp the concept of a bearish trend. A bearish trend refers to an extended period of declining prices in a particular stock or market. It typically involves a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a negative sentiment and potential selling pressure among investors.

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) currently finds itself in the midst of a predicted downtrend, as per A.I.dvisor's analysis. The outlook suggests that CAT may experience a decline of approximately 4%, potentially reaching a price of $205.69 or even lower within the next month. This projection underscores the prevailing negative sentiment surrounding the stock and sets the stage for a potential continuation of the downtrend.

Historical Insights from A.I.dvisor: To provide further context and statistical support, A.I.dvisor has examined historical scenarios with similar downtrend patterns in CAT. The analysis reveals that in these previous instances, the stock tended to trend downward throughout the month. Out of the identified cases, the odds of a downtrend continuation are calculated to be 78%. This data-backed insight adds weight to the probability of CAT's downtrend persisting.

Investing with Caution: As Caterpillar (CAT) enters a bearish phase, investors are advised to exercise caution. While the A.I.dvisor's analysis and historical probabilities indicate a likelihood of a downtrend continuation, it is crucial to consider other factors that may impact CAT's performance. Market conditions, industry-specific dynamics, and company-specific developments can all influence stock prices. Conducting thorough research and consulting with financial advisors is highly recommended before making any investment decisions.

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is currently positioned in a bearish trend, signaling a potential downtrend continuation. A.I.dvisor's analysis predicts a decline in CAT's price within the next month, with statistical probabilities suggesting a 78% chance of a downtrend continuation. Investors should exercise caution and conduct their own research to evaluate the broader market environment, industry dynamics, and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

Related Ticker: CAT

Momentum Indicator for CAT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

CAT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 05, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for CAT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 260 cases where CAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CAT moved out of overbought territory on June 12, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on June 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (9.320) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.046). P/E Ratio (18.079) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.903). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.089) is also within normal values, averaging (2.737). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.786) is also within normal values, averaging (127.366).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 12.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 181.64B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 181.64B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. CEAD experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while HINOY experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 67
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines and industrial gas turbines

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard
Phone
+1 972 891-7700
Employees
113200
Web
https://www.caterpillar.com
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