Caterpillar Inc. (CAT, $121.46) Crawls Down as Outlook Falls Short of Expectations
Caterpillar Inc.’s (CAT) shares fell more than 8% on Tuesday, as the mining and construction equipment maker again showed signs of weakness tied to rising steel and input costs -- which ultimately bear connection to U.S. tariffs.
Caterpillar has already lost nearly 21% of its market value in October, as analysts were disappointed with earnings and its outlook for the rest of the year. As tariffs boosted metal costs and trade frictions fueled demand concerns, Caterpillar was largely unable to pass these costs on -- eroding profitability.
Caterpillar in its recent government filing revealed that the company lost nearly $40 million in third quarter of 2018 owing solely to the recently imposed tariffs. For the full-year, the company is expecting tariff-related losses in the range of $100 million to $200 million on the lower-end. To minimize the impact of the rising raw material prices, the company has already informed all its dealers there would be an increase in prices in the range of 1% to 4% worldwide starting January 2019.
Despite posting a satisfactory earnings number in Q3 2018, a choppy future outlook has proven negative for Caterpillar. Total sales and revenue for Caterpillar stood at $13.5 billion for Q3 2018 compared to $14 billion in the previous quarter.
CAT's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 3 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CAT advanced for three days, in of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 269 cases where CAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CAT moved out of overbought territory on February 18, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CAT as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CAT turned negative on February 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CAT's P/B Ratio (15.385) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.441). P/E Ratio (37.470) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.936) is also within normal values, averaging (2.414). CAT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.008) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (4.926) is also within normal values, averaging (2.777).
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General Information
a manufacturer of mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines and industrial gas turbines
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery
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