Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 20, 2020

Charles Schwab (SCHW, $36.03) expects Q3 revenue to be lower than Q2

Charles Schwab provided a third-quarter revenue update that was below investors’ expectations.

The financial services company said sharply lower long-term interest rates propelled faster prepayments on the mortgage-backed securities within its investment portfolio, and that led to the company’s net interest margin getting squeezed. As a result, its third-quarter revenue is "slightly lower" than its second-quarter result, according to the company.

Chief Financial Officer Peter Crawford said that Schwab has "taken steps to mitigate prepayment risk by reshaping our investment portfolio over recent years to include significantly expanded allocations to less-prepayable securities," . But that could not stop the latest quarter’s a in prepayment.

FactSet expects third quarter revenue to increase 2.3% quarter to quarter to $2.51 billion. Schwab’s second-quarter revenue was $2.45 billion.

According to Tickeron's analysis:

SCHW sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On September 15, 2020, the Stochastic Indicator for SCHW moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 37 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 71%.

Current price $36.03 crossed the resistance line at $35.99 and is trading between $37.89 support and $35.99 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 08/18/20 - 09/18/20, the price experienced a +3% Uptrend. During the week of 09/11/20 - 09/18/20, the stock enjoyed a +2% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 18, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SCHW as a result. In 58 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SCHW just turned positive on September 18, 2020. Looking at past instances where SCHW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

SCHW moved above its 50-day Moving Average on August 18, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day Moving Average for SCHW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Following a +0.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SCHW advanced for three days, in 194 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 135 of 239 cases where SCHW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

SCHW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 28, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 54%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.61 to 1.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.82) is normal, around the industry mean (3.26). P/E Ratio (15.11) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.14). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.52) is also within normal values, averaging (1.03). Dividend Yield (1.43) settles around the average of (2.25) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.95) is also within normal values, averaging (27.77).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SCHW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SCHW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

Related Ticker: SCHW

SCHW's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SCHW turned positive on May 11, 2023. Looking at past instances where SCHW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SCHW's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 16, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SCHW as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SCHW moved above its 50-day moving average on May 22, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SCHW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 26, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SCHW advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SCHW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SCHW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SCHW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.597) is normal, around the industry mean (3.566). P/E Ratio (14.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.150). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.847) is also within normal values, averaging (2.242). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.753) is also within normal values, averaging (105.288).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SCHW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 8.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B. The lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. GHL experienced the highest price growth at 114%, while GMPW experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -52% and the average quarterly volume growth was 175%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: Investment Firms
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.
Dmitry Perepelkin's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 14, 2023
5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

5 Habits that Lead to Successful Investing

To consistently make money in this industry, you need emotional fortitude, an analytical mind, and a willingness to self-reflect. Despite trading and investing being two different activities, these principles can be applied to both.Conversely, investors with good habits often become great traders.  Rather than full sentences for titles, we’ve labeled each of our top-five investing habits using a single word principle.
Allana's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 23, 2023
What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

What’s the Difference Between Data Analytics and Machine Learning?

Artificial intelligence (AI) technology is developing rapidly.Data mining can deliver raw numbers, but it does not necessarily provide actionable insights. Structure is necessary to taking abstract information and extracting commonalities, like averages, ratios, and percentages.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 13, 2023
4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

4 Tips for Fast, Effective Stock Analysis

With just a few clicks, an investor can search for individual stocks, categories of stocks, sectors, or investment themes, and then he or she can conduct a full range of technical and fundamental analysis within seconds.All powered by Artificial Intelligence.  Below, we give you 5 tips for fast, effective stock analysis using Tickeron’s Screener.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 20, 2023
5 Golden Principles in Investing

5 Golden Principles in Investing

You have enough faith in that stock, based on research, that the return will equal or exceed the investment.  Do unto others.The principles outlined here will ensure that happens.  Principle #1: Diversification Investors can’t be one-dimensional when constructing a portfolio.
John Jacques's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 24, 2023
If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

If Hedge Funds are Using AI to Invest, Why Shouldn’t You?

Some of the world’s biggest financial institutions have devoted multi-million dollar budgets to developing algorithms that can find patterns in the market, identify trends, and perform automated trading designed to take advantage of even the smallest price movements. The AI revolution is so big that as it stands today, the world’s five biggest hedge funds all use systems-based approaches to trade financial markets.Indeed, quantitative trading hedge funds now manage $918 billion (according to HFR), which amounts to 30% of the $3 trillion hedge fund industry – a percentage continues to grow with each year that passes.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 15, 2023
The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading

The five most important Lessons Learned After 10,000 hours of Trading

Ten thousand hours of active trading, broken down into forty-hour weeks, amounts to almost five years. Having surpassed that milestone myself, I now understand why it's significant for any trader's journey. The early years taught me valuable lessons that have shaped my approach to trading. It's a misconception that great traders are born with innate talent. The truth is that it takes years of...
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 12, 2023
What's the Difference Between Tokens and Altcoins?

What's the Difference Between Tokens and Altcoins?

Between their inherently technical nature, multiple varieties and sub-varieties, and endless terminology, cryptocurrency (defined here as digital or virtual currencies that are encrypted using cryptography, powered by the immutable digital ledger known as the blockchain) represents a whole, complex world.All altcoins possess their own blockchain, independent from their source code, that records all transactions of their native coins. Many altcoins are variants, or forks, of Bitcoin that leverage that cryptocurrency’s open-source protocol as the basis.
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 26, 2023
Why it Pays to Invest in Dividend Stocks Over the Long Term

Why it Pays to Invest in Dividend Stocks Over the Long Term

Where smaller, more volatile companies can placate shareholders with higher returns, larger companies often use dividend payouts to entice new investors and hold their existing ones. These low-risk options may not work for every investment approach, but dividend-producing stocks can offer great benefits under the right circumstances – especially for portfolios built for the long-term.Beyond the ability to rely on these semi-regular payouts as an income stream – a strategy favored by retirees – dividends are an excellent vehicle for compounding earnings through reinvestment.
Edward Flores's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 02, 2023
How Artificial Intelligence Can Improve Fintech

How Artificial Intelligence Can Improve Fintech

Artificial intelligence (AI) and fintech have an inherent compatibility that has become clearer as each sector has matured, with recent growth and successes on their own accord bringing new ideas about how they can work together.AI can analyze information at far greater quantities (and far more quickly) than any human, making it a natural fit to help fintech firms streamline and automate processes that benefit customers and businesses alike. Fintech has brought a revolution of convenience to the finance world.