Charter Communications (CHTR, $49.59) Earnings Expectations on Friday, April 28: A Technical Analysis
Charter Communications (NASDAQ: CHTR), one of the largest cable and telecommunications companies in the United States, is set to announce its quarterly earnings results on Friday, April 28. As investors eagerly await the release of the company's financial performance, technical analysts have observed some key indicators that could shed light on the stock's near-term trajectory. One such indicator, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD), recently turned negative for CHTR, which could be a bearish signal for the stock. In this article, we'll dive into the technical analysis of Charter Communications and examine the potential implications of the MACD's bearish signal.
MACD Histogram Turns Negative:
On April 20, 2023, CHTR's MACD Histogram turned negative, a technical indicator that suggests potential weakness in the stock's price. The MACD is a popular momentum indicator that tracks the relationship between two moving averages – the 12-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the 26-day EMA. When the MACD Histogram turns negative, it indicates that the 12-day EMA has crossed below the 26-day EMA, signaling a potential downward trend.
To better understand the significance of the MACD's bearish signal for CHTR, we can turn to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, which analyzed 45 instances in which the indicator turned negative. In 27 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed, translating to a 60% probability of a downward move. While this historical analysis does not guarantee that CHTR's stock price will decline following the negative MACD signal, it does provide investors with insight into the potential odds of such a move.
As we approach Charter Communications' earnings announcement, it's essential to keep in mind that the MACD is just one technical indicator among many that can help investors gauge the stock's momentum. Other factors, such as company fundamentals, industry trends, and broader market conditions, should also be considered when evaluating the stock's potential direction.
For instance, investors should pay attention to Charter Communications' revenue growth, subscriber additions, and the impact of the ongoing shift towards streaming services on its traditional cable business. Additionally, the competitive landscape in the telecommunications industry and any regulatory developments could also play a role in shaping CHTR's future performance.
As Charter Communications prepares to release its earnings results on April 28, the recent bearish signal from the MACD Histogram suggests that the stock could be facing near-term headwinds. According to Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, there is a 60% chance that the stock will move lower based on historical instances. However, investors should not solely rely on this technical indicator and should consider other factors, including the company's fundamentals and industry trends, when making their investment decisions.
CHTR in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023
The 10-day moving average for CHTR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 11, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHTR as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHTR turned negative on May 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CHTR moved below its 50-day moving average on May 09, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHTR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CHTR entered a downward trend on June 06, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 48 cases where CHTR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHTR advanced for three days, in of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CHTR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHTR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.260) is normal, around the industry mean (5.895). P/E Ratio (10.787) is within average values for comparable stocks, (133.963). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.335) is also within normal values, averaging (9.975). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.110) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.961) is also within normal values, averaging (65.846).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CHTR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of broadband communications services
Industry WirelessTelecommunications
CHTR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHTR has been closely correlated with LBRDK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHTR jumps, then LBRDK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHTR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHTR | 100% | -1.76% | ||
| LBRDK - CHTR | 98% Closely correlated | -1.84% | ||
| LBRDA - CHTR | 97% Closely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| CMCSA - CHTR | 77% Closely correlated | -0.83% | ||
| CABO - CHTR | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| ATUS - CHTR | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
More | ||||
