Chesapeake Energy shares surged this week after the company reported estimate-beating Q4 earnings and revenue expectations. Analysts attribute higher natural gas prices for this stunning growth.
CHK’s total Q4 revenue rose to $3.07 billion, a 22% increase versus analyst expectations of $2.28 billion. Oil, natural gas and natural gas equivalent revenue jumped 37% to $1.73 billion versus a consensus estimate of $1.1 billion.
Based on recent trend in oil and gas prices, Chesapeake says its full-year adjusted EBITDA generated the highest per barrel of oil equivalent of $12.81 since 2014, and expects EBITDA generated per barrel of oil equivalent to rise by 12%-15% in 2019.
CHK’s Q4 production stood at 464K boe/day after falling by 7% on a y-o-y basis, while production expenses increased 15% to $2.87/boe. CHK forecasts 2019 oil production to rise ~32% to 116K-122K bbl/day while capex is expected to remain roughly flat at $2.3B-$2.5 billion and cash flow is seen coming in really strong.
CHK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 37 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 26, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHK as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHK turned negative on May 26, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CHK moved below its 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHK advanced for three days, in of 244 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 192 cases where CHK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.991) is normal, around the industry mean (6.032). P/E Ratio (1.545) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.522). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.863) is also within normal values, averaging (55.807). Dividend Yield (0.104) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.837) is also within normal values, averaging (147.296).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CHK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of oil and natural gas properties
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHK has been closely correlated with AR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHK jumps, then AR could also see price increases.