Chesapeake Energy shares surged this week after the company reported estimate-beating Q4 earnings and revenue expectations. Analysts attribute higher natural gas prices for this stunning growth.
CHK’s total Q4 revenue rose to $3.07 billion, a 22% increase versus analyst expectations of $2.28 billion. Oil, natural gas and natural gas equivalent revenue jumped 37% to $1.73 billion versus a consensus estimate of $1.1 billion.
Based on recent trend in oil and gas prices, Chesapeake says its full-year adjusted EBITDA generated the highest per barrel of oil equivalent of $12.81 since 2014, and expects EBITDA generated per barrel of oil equivalent to rise by 12%-15% in 2019.
CHK’s Q4 production stood at 464K boe/day after falling by 7% on a y-o-y basis, while production expenses increased 15% to $2.87/boe. CHK forecasts 2019 oil production to rise ~32% to 116K-122K bbl/day while capex is expected to remain roughly flat at $2.3B-$2.5 billion and cash flow is seen coming in really strong.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CHK declined for three days, in of 283 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CHK moved out of overbought territory on April 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 12, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHK as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHK turned negative on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CHK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 52 cases where CHK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for CHK moved above the 200-day moving average on April 05, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHK advanced for three days, in of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 207 cases where CHK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.094) is normal, around the industry mean (5.854). P/E Ratio (5.304) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.621). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.307) is also within normal values, averaging (5.068). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.650) is also within normal values, averaging (148.486).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CHK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of oil and natural gas properties
Industry OilGasProduction