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Aug 19, 2019

Chevron (CVX, $117.43) got an overweight rating from Barclays, while ExxonMobil (XOM, $69.50) got a 'neutral' one

Chevron shares climbed Monday,  after a Barclays analyst initiated coverage on the company with an overweight rating.

Barclays analyst Jeanine Wai said in a note to investors that the oil and gas company "is well-positioned” to generate substantial free cash flow to shareholders, and also fund its 3-4% five-year growth CAGR guidance. Wai set a stock price target of $145 on Chevron.

Wai also mentioned that even as Chevron has outperformed ExxonMobil by 11% over the last year, the stock still trades at a discount on an after-tax cash-blow basis in 2020, which should invert over the next year as the market factors in the sustainability of CVX's casg return program. Wai added, "while we think XOM's counter-cyclical investment approach will eventually pay off, it leaves a near-term FCF deficit after dividend at Brent prices less than $70."

Exxon is expecting its Permian holdings to be cash-flow positive in 2021 at $60 a barrel for Brent crude, while Chevron targets the same scenario for 2020 at $55 a barrel for Nymex-traded WTI oil, as indicated by the analyst.

The Barclays analysts initiated coverage of Exxon Mobil  at equal weight with a price target of $73 a share.

Related Ticker: CVX

Momentum Indicator for CVX turns positive, indicating new upward trend

CVX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 22, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where CVX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for CVX moved above the 200-day moving average on April 03, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 281 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on April 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVX turned negative on April 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CVX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CVX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.836) is normal, around the industry mean (1.218). P/E Ratio (14.004) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.497) is also within normal values, averaging (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.107) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.519) is also within normal values, averaging (0.979).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 61.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 461.22B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 461.22B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. SEGYY experienced the highest price growth at 32%, while REPYF experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 43% and the average quarterly volume growth was 12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 34
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 68
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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CVXDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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published General Information

General Information

a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
6001 Bollinger Canyon Road
Phone
+1 925 842-1000
Employees
45600
Web
https://www.chevron.com
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