Chevron (CVX, $120.44) to buy Anadarko Petroleum (APC, $62.35) to strengthen its position in the shale business
American multinational energy giant Chevron is all set to buy Anadarko Petroleum Corp. in a $33 billion cash and stock deal.
The deal is not just in line with the company’s strategy to expand its shale-drilling ambitions and places it just behind Exxon Mobil Corp. as one of the world’s largest publicly traded producers of oil and gas. But, it also helps the second biggest U.S. energy company to expand operations in U.S. shale oil and gas production, offshore drilling and liquefied natural gas exports business.
According to the terms of the deal, Anadarko’s shares has been valued at $65 per share – a 37% premium to its Thursday close and Anadarko shareholders will receive 0.3869 shares of Chevron and $16.25 in cash for each Anadarko share. Further, Chevron will adopt $15 billion of Anadarko’s debt.
With this deal Chevron not only gets relatively cheap large-scale production to take their Permian position a level up just behind Exxon (XOM), but it also gives them access to West and East African reserves. This in turn can help Chevron roll their Australian LNG development capability into Mozambique.
Representing the 11th biggest deal for an energy and power company, it’s expected to create synergies worth $1 billion for Chevron.
Chevron had hit 16.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) in 2018, while Anadarko clocked a production count of 4 billion BOE from the Permian region in western Texas and eastern New Mexico in 2018.
CVX in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on May 02, 2023
CVX moved below its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 25, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVX as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for CVX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for CVX moved below the 200-day moving average on April 25, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CVX entered a downward trend on May 30, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where CVX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVX just turned positive on May 24, 2023. Looking at past instances where CVX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CVX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVX's P/B Ratio (1.820) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.038). P/E Ratio (8.264) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.029). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.411) is also within normal values, averaging (4.101). Dividend Yield (0.038) settles around the average of (0.103) among similar stocks. CVX's P/S Ratio (1.272) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.581).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CVX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas
Industry IntegratedOil
CVX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVX has been closely correlated with XOM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVX jumps, then XOM could also see price increases.
