Chevron (CVX, $120.44) to buy Anadarko Petroleum (APC, $62.35) to strengthen its position in the shale business
American multinational energy giant Chevron is all set to buy Anadarko Petroleum Corp. in a $33 billion cash and stock deal.
The deal is not just in line with the company’s strategy to expand its shale-drilling ambitions and places it just behind Exxon Mobil Corp. as one of the world’s largest publicly traded producers of oil and gas. But, it also helps the second biggest U.S. energy company to expand operations in U.S. shale oil and gas production, offshore drilling and liquefied natural gas exports business.
According to the terms of the deal, Anadarko’s shares has been valued at $65 per share – a 37% premium to its Thursday close and Anadarko shareholders will receive 0.3869 shares of Chevron and $16.25 in cash for each Anadarko share. Further, Chevron will adopt $15 billion of Anadarko’s debt.
With this deal Chevron not only gets relatively cheap large-scale production to take their Permian position a level up just behind Exxon (XOM), but it also gives them access to West and East African reserves. This in turn can help Chevron roll their Australian LNG development capability into Mozambique.
Representing the 11th biggest deal for an energy and power company, it’s expected to create synergies worth $1 billion for Chevron.
Chevron had hit 16.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) in 2018, while Anadarko clocked a production count of 4 billion BOE from the Permian region in western Texas and eastern New Mexico in 2018.
CVX in +0.64% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 22, 2024
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CVX advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 01, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVX as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVX just turned positive on November 04, 2024. Looking at past instances where CVX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for CVX moved above the 200-day moving average on November 26, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 279 cases where CVX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CVX moved out of overbought territory on November 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 72 cases where CVX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CVX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CVX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.836) is normal, around the industry mean (1.194). P/E Ratio (14.004) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.497) is also within normal values, averaging (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.519) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).
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a company which explores and refines oil and natural gas
Industry IntegratedOil