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Oct 03, 2023

Child Care Group Tickers $SCHL, $EDUC, $BFAM, $GEHI Show Remarkable +5.55% Performance Surge in Past Week

In the world of finance, the performance of certain stock groups can serve as a barometer for broader economic trends and investor sentiment. One such group that has recently caught the attention of financial analysts is the Child Care Group, consisting of companies SCHL, EDUC, BFAM, and GEHI. Over the past week, this group has experienced a significant increase in performance, with a gain of +5.55%. However, a deeper analysis of various indicators suggests that these stocks are facing a challenging period.

The Child Care Group and Its Tickers

The Child Care Group comprises four key tickers: SCHL, EDUC, BFAM, and GEHI. These companies operate within the childcare industry, an essential sector that has seen its fair share of ups and downs, especially in light of the recent economic uncertainties.

Negative Outlook Looms

Today, the Child Care Group is under a cloud of uncertainty, backed by the Aroon Indicator and the Stock Fear & Greed Index. The Aroon Indicator signals a negative outlook, indicating that the stocks in this group are facing headwinds.

Tickeron, a renowned financial forecasting platform, shares this pessimistic view. It predicts a further decline of more than 4.00% within the next month for this group, with an 81% likelihood. Over the past month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.84, further highlighting the challenging conditions these stocks face.

TrendMonth Indicator Agrees with the Dour Outlook

The TrendMonth indicator, a reliable tool for assessing long-term trends, confirms the negative trend. Four of the stocks in this group exhibit a similar downward trajectory, with an average likelihood of 79% for further declines.

Market Cap Variations

The market capitalization within the Child Care Theme is quite diverse, with an average of 1.5 billion USD. The group's market cap ranges from 9.3 million USD for EDUC to a substantial 4.7 billion USD for BFAM, making it the highest-valued company in this group.

Price Movements Paint a Mixed Picture

Price movements within the Child Care Theme have been mixed. While the average weekly price growth across all stocks was a positive 5.55%, the monthly and quarterly averages dipped into negative territory. On an individual stock level, GEHI experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while BFAM suffered the biggest fall at -4.25%.

Notable Events

Two notable events stand out in recent weeks. On August 4th, Educational Development (EDUC) was a top weekly loser among penny stocks, falling a significant -17%. Conversely, on June 2nd, EDUC was a top weekly gainer among penny stocks, rising +15.74%. Such rapid fluctuations can indicate high volatility within the group.

Volume Fluctuations

Volume fluctuations within the Child Care Theme have been significant. Weekly volumes decreased by an average of -61.16%, while monthly volumes increased by 22.36%. The quarterly average also saw a substantial increase, with a growth rate of 46.78%.

Scholastic (SCHL) Shows Promise

One bright spot within this group is Scholastic (SCHL), which is currently in a +6.91% uptrend, having grown for three consecutive days as of September 27, 2023. Historically, this pattern has been a bullish sign, with a 72% chance of continued upward movement. SCHL is currently trading between support and resistance lines, making it a stock to watch for future growth.

EDUC Faces Headwinds

Conversely, Educational Development (EDUC) is experiencing a downward trend. The 10-day moving average crossed below the 50-day moving average on September 7, 2023, signaling a potential sell-off. In the past, this crossover has often led to continued downward trends, with a 90% chance of this pattern persisting.

BFAM's Negative Momentum

BFAM's Momentum Indicator turned negative on September 5, 2023, suggesting a new downward trend. Historically, in 65% of similar cases, the stock continued to decline. Current trading patterns put BFAM between resistance and support lines.

In summary, the Child Care Group stocks have experienced recent volatility, with indicators and historical data signaling a challenging period ahead. While Scholastic (SCHL) shows promise, Educational Development (EDUC) and BFAM face downward pressures. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any decisions related to these stocks.

 

 

 

 

Related Ticker: SCHL, EDUC, BFAM, GEHI

SCHL sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SCHL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 19, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SCHL as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SCHL moved below its 50-day moving average on July 19, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SCHL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SCHL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SCHL advanced for three days, in of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SCHL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 204 cases where SCHL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 76%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.051) is normal, around the industry mean (2.767). P/E Ratio (26.360) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.901). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.419). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.687) is also within normal values, averaging (23.505).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SCHL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SCHL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Industry description

The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Publishing: Books/Magazines Industry is 3.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 113.09K to 13.62B. IFPJF holds the highest valuation in this group at 13.62B. The lowest valued company is DIGI at 113.09K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Books/Magazines Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. EDUC experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while SCHL experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Publishing: Books/Magazines Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was 80%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a publisher of books, magazines, teacher materials and television programming for children

Industry PublishingBooksMagazines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Publishing Books Or Magazines
Address
557 Broadway
Phone
+1 212 343-6100
Employees
6760
Web
https://www.scholastic.com
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