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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 07, 2019

China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal

Since the global selloff ended in late December/early January, China’s market has moved sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite is up just shy of 25% since January 2 while the S&P 500 is up 17.4% during that same time period. One particular ETF that tracks China’s overall market has performed even better. The Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-shares ETF (Amex: ASHR) is up 33.3% from the close on January 2.

At the post selloff high earlier in April, the ASHR was up over 40% from that January low. The ETF has pulled back a little in recent weeks, but that could be providing investors with an opportunity. The pullback brought ASHR down to the 50-day moving average and to a trend line that connects the lows from January and February. The trend line and the moving average are right on top of one another right now. 

Another thing that happened with the recent pullback is that the daily stochastic readings moved in to oversold territory for the first time since January and the indicators just made a bullish crossover on April 30. 

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on ASHR on April 29 and the prediction showed a confidence level of 86%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful. 

Related Ticker: ASHR

ASHR's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for ASHR moved out of oversold territory on November 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where ASHR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASHR advanced for three days, in of 249 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ASHR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASHR as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASHR turned negative on November 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ASHR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ASHR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASHR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ASHR entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the performance, before fees and expenses, of the CSI 300 Index. The fund will normally invest at least 80% of its total assets in securities of issuers that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index is designed to reflect the price fluctuation and performance of the China A-Share market and is composed of the 300 largest and most liquid stocks in the China A-Share market. It is non-diversified.
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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General Information

Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
China Region
Address
DBX ETF TRUST345 PARK AVENUENew York
Phone
2122505883
Web
www.DWS.com
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