China ETF has a steep upwardly-sloped trend line and a bullish signal
Since the global selloff ended in late December/early January, China’s market has moved sharply higher. The Shanghai Composite is up just shy of 25% since January 2 while the S&P 500 is up 17.4% during that same time period. One particular ETF that tracks China’s overall market has performed even better. The Deutsche X-Trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-shares ETF (Amex: ASHR) is up 33.3% from the close on January 2.
At the post selloff high earlier in April, the ASHR was up over 40% from that January low. The ETF has pulled back a little in recent weeks, but that could be providing investors with an opportunity. The pullback brought ASHR down to the 50-day moving average and to a trend line that connects the lows from January and February. The trend line and the moving average are right on top of one another right now.
Another thing that happened with the recent pullback is that the daily stochastic readings moved in to oversold territory for the first time since January and the indicators just made a bullish crossover on April 30.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on ASHR on April 29 and the prediction showed a confidence level of 86%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the ETF have been successful.
ASHR's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for ASHR moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 18 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 18, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASHR as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASHR turned negative on May 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 50-day moving average for ASHR moved below the 200-day moving average on May 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASHR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASHR advanced for three days, in of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ASHR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 161 cases where ASHR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Industry description
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General Information
Category PacificAsiaexJapanStk
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