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published in Blogs
Dec 31, 2019
China PMI signals expansion in December manufacturing

China PMI signals expansion in December manufacturing

China’s manufacturing activity expanded in December, as indicated by the nation’s official Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) whose reading came in slightly higher than expected.

China PMI for December was 50.2. Any reading above 50 suggests an expansion in activity. Economists polled by Reuters expected the official December manufacturing PMI to come in at 50.1.

Production accelerated and demand increased in December, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

December was the second straight month of expansion for the index.

On December 13, the U.S. and China announced that they had reached a phase one trade deal, that includes (among several aspects) holding off and reduction of  some U.S.tariffs, increased purchases by China of U.S. agricultural goods, and policies related to intellectual property and technology.

Related Ticker: FXI

FXI in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on February 12, 2026

The 10-day moving average for FXI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FXI as a result. In of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FXI turned negative on February 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 60 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 60 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

FXI moved below its 50-day moving average on February 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FXI entered a downward trend on March 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXI advanced for three days, in of 252 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FXI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the FTSE China 50 Index composed of large-capitalization Chinese equities that trade on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its underlying index. The index designed to measure the performance of the largest companies in the Chinese equity market that trade on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong and are available to international investors. The fund is non-diversified.
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