China confirmed reports that it will cease to buy U.S. agricultural products.
A spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce said that Chinese companies have stopped purchasing U.S. agricultural products in response to U.S. President Trump’s latest 10% tariffs on additional $300 billion of Chinese goods.
The department also indicated it would “not rule out” tariffs on newly bought agricultural goods after August 3.
Previously, Trump had said that he had secured a large amount of agricultural purchases after meeting with China President Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit in June. But later, Trump alleged that China is not staying true to the agreement, and then he announced on Thursday the 10% tariffs on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese imports.
China accounted for $5.6 billion in U.S. farm product exports in 2018, according to the U.S. Census. It purchased roughly 60 percent of U.S. soybean exports last year. China is the fourth largest market for U.S. farm exports, behind Canada, Mexico and Japan.
As it is, U.S. net farm income has been declining in the past six years, even before the tariffs came into effect. And now, with China pulling out of U.S. agricultural products, U.S. farming industry’s challenges could potentially get severely exacerbated.
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on April 30, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 106 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 106 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where SPY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on April 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SPY moved below its 50-day moving average on April 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SPY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 02, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPY as a result. In of 65 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SPY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category LargeBlend