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published in Blogs
Sep 18, 2018

China Reduces Its US Treasury Holdings

In July, China’s ownership of U.S. Treasuries declined to a six month low.

China’s holdings of U.S. bonds, bills and notes was $1.17 trillion in July – the lowest level since January. In June, it was $1.18 trillion. (According to data released by the Treasury Department on Tuesday). The news comes at a time when trade war between the U.S. and China seems to have only intensified. In the latest round of the 'battle',  the U.S. will impose fresh levies on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods on September 24, to which China has responded with its plan to hit $60 billion of U.S. goods with tariffs. 

Related Ticker: GOVT

GOVT's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on March 04, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 27, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on March 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on March 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE U.S. Treasury Core Bond Index (the "underlying index"). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than one year and less than or equal to thirty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value.
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