China Reduces Its US Treasury Holdings
In July, China’s ownership of U.S. Treasuries declined to a six month low.
China’s holdings of U.S. bonds, bills and notes was $1.17 trillion in July – the lowest level since January. In June, it was $1.18 trillion. (According to data released by the Treasury Department on Tuesday). The news comes at a time when trade war between the U.S. and China seems to have only intensified. In the latest round of the 'battle', the U.S. will impose fresh levies on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods on September 24, to which China has responded with its plan to hit $60 billion of U.S. goods with tariffs.
GOVT in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025
The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 278 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 179 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOVT moved out of overbought territory on July 01, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOVT as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOVT turned negative on July 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 59 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GOVT moved below its 50-day moving average on July 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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Category IntermediateGovernment
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