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Oct 15, 2018
China Stocks Extend $3 Trillion Loss, Amidst Government Rescue Efforts

China Stocks Extend $3 Trillion Loss, Amidst Government Rescue Efforts

Chinese stock market extended its $3 trillion rout,  with the the Shanghai Composite Index dropping 1.5 percent to its lowest close since November 2014. The index has declined 19% in the past six months.

Consumer companies’ stocks suffered the biggest losses, following  declining demand for appliances and automobiles last month. Add to that heightened trade tensions between the U.S. and China as both nations engaged in a tariff-slapping spree on each others’ goods. The yuan’s decline, too, is apparently in the eye of the storm with respect to trade relations. 

The recent weeks' stock market rout in China has propelled its government to step in to curb further losses. The government is asking insurers to invest in listed corporations in order to mitigate liquidity risks linked to the companies' pledging of shares to secure loans - the China Securities Journal reported on Saturday, citing a senior official with the banking and insurance regulator. Also, several companies will be supported by the tens of billions of yuan from the local government of Shenzhen to improve their shares' liquidity and lower share-pledged risks, according to  the Shanghai Securities News (as reported by Bloomberg).

Related Ticker: CHIQ

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for CHIQ turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CHIQ saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 12, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 80 of the 87 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHIQ turned negative on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

CHIQ moved below its 50-day moving average on August 31, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CHIQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHIQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for CHIQ entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHIQ advanced for three days, in 226 of 266 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

CHIQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the MSCI China Consumer Discretionary 10/50 Index. The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index and in ADRs and GDRs based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index tracks the performance of companies in the MSCI China Index (the "parent index") that are classified in the consumer discretionary sector, as defined by the index provider. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF is 26.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.93B to 110.75B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 110.75B. The lowest valued company is VIPS at 5.93B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF was -2%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. YUMC experienced the highest price growth at -3%, while VIPS experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF was -26%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 50% and the average quarterly volume growth was -31%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 24 (-100 ... +100)
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