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Oct 15, 2018

China Stocks Extend $3 Trillion Loss, Amidst Government Rescue Efforts

Chinese stock market extended its $3 trillion rout,  with the the Shanghai Composite Index dropping 1.5 percent to its lowest close since November 2014. The index has declined 19% in the past six months.

Consumer companies’ stocks suffered the biggest losses, following  declining demand for appliances and automobiles last month. Add to that heightened trade tensions between the U.S. and China as both nations engaged in a tariff-slapping spree on each others’ goods. The yuan’s decline, too, is apparently in the eye of the storm with respect to trade relations. 

The recent weeks' stock market rout in China has propelled its government to step in to curb further losses. The government is asking insurers to invest in listed corporations in order to mitigate liquidity risks linked to the companies' pledging of shares to secure loans - the China Securities Journal reported on Saturday, citing a senior official with the banking and insurance regulator. Also, several companies will be supported by the tens of billions of yuan from the local government of Shenzhen to improve their shares' liquidity and lower share-pledged risks, according to  the Shanghai Securities News (as reported by Bloomberg).

Related Ticker: CHIQ

Momentum Indicator for CHIQ turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CHIQ saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 15, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHIQ turned negative on April 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHIQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 60 cases where CHIQ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

CHIQ moved above its 50-day moving average on April 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHIQ advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 249 cases where CHIQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), H World Group Limited (NASDAQ:HTHT), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the MSCI China Consumer Discretionary 10/50 Index. The fund invests at least 80% of its total assets in the securities of the underlying index and in ADRs and GDRs based on the securities in the underlying index. The underlying index tracks the performance of companies in the MSCI China Index (the "parent index") that are classified in the consumer discretionary sector, as defined by the index provider. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF is 36.25B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 7.25B to 164.97B. PDD holds the highest valuation in this group at 164.97B. The lowest valued company is TAL at 7.25B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF was 13%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 26%. PDD experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while VIPS experienced the biggest fall at -3%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Global X MSCI China Consumer Disc ETF ETF was -6%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 25% and the average quarterly volume growth was 72%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
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CHIQDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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