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Jun 02, 2020

Chinese Internet Firms are in the Spotlight as Trade Rhetoric Heats Up

There is an ongoing competition between China and the United States for worldwide economic supremacy. One particularly fertile battleground in the competition is technology. Data indicates that the gap in venture capital funding between Chinese and American companies is closing fast. China has used grand ambitions and careful government planning to create powerful, profitable companies uniquely positioned to take advantage of their market – and beyond.

Home to the largest internet and mobile markets in the world, Chinese companies tend to be more transaction-based than their Western counterparts. Many of these companies have become skilled at leveraging rapid adoption rates and a tech-savvy population to sell virtual and physical goods. E-commerce, gaming, and social network businesses are particularly successful – big names include Alibaba, Weibo, and Tencent – but the space is diverse. Some companies, like Huami, create wearable devices; others, like Baidu, traffic in A.I. and internet services (including the largest search engine in China).

While the trade wars and questions about Chinese technology companies’ ability to innovate remain, many economic experts see a positive future, driven in part by the impending arrival of 5G technology. Whether this is the impetus for the next great wave of Chinese tech companies remains to be seen, but its big names are proven successes, making them accessible, enticing options for investors.

In addition to the increased attention due to the barbs being traded between Beijing and Washington, a couple of members of the group are set to report earnings this week. Autohome (NYSE: ATHM) is set to report on June 1 and Baozun (Nasdaq: BZUN) is set to report on June 2. Both companies are expected to see earnings decline slightly compared to last year.

Looking at the fundamental ratings for the companies in the industry, the Tickeron screener shows that NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) is the highest rated among the 18 stocks in the group. It scores very highly in its Valuation Rating, Profit vs. Risk Rating, and the SMR Rating. It also scores well in the Seasonality Rating. The only area where it is below average is in the PE Growth Rating.

The other four companies in the top five for fundamental ratings are JOYY Inc. (Nasdaq: YY), JD.Com (Nasdaq: JD), Bitauto Holdings (Nasdaq: BITA), and Alibaba (NYSE: BABA).

The technical ratings show three of the same companies in the top five for their various ratings—Alibaba, NetEase, and Bitauto Holdings. The top company for its overall technical ratings is Vipshop Holdings (Nasdaq: VIPS). The stock scores well in its Stochastic indicators, MACD, Momentum, and the Moving Averages. The only area where the stock doesn’t score well is with the AROON indicator. Alibaba scores highly in four out of five as well with its only subpar rating being from the MACD.

NetEase scores highly in four of the seven categories with one neutral reading and two below average ratings. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE: TME) is the second company that makes it in to the top five, but wasn’t in the top five in the fundamental ratings. All five of the companies score highly in at least four technical categories.

With political tensions high between China and the United States, all Chinese stocks that trade on U.S. exchanges could be volatile in the coming months. There are also concerns about accounting practices after the recent events at Luckin Coffee (Nasdaq: LK) raised red flags about the filing requirements of foreign companies on U.S. exchanges.

These stocks could be volatile in the coming months and quarters. If investors try to stick with the stocks that the screener ranks as the highest ones, both for fundamental and technical analysis, they should fare better than investing in the stocks that don’t rank as highly.

Related Ticker: ATHM

ATHM's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for ATHM entered a downward trend on February 13, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 290 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 290 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where ATHM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ATHM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ATHM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ATHM as a result. In of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ATHM just turned positive on February 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where ATHM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ATHM moved above its 50-day moving average on February 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ATHM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 16, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ATHM advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.975) is normal, around the industry mean (17.333). P/E Ratio (12.362) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.850). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.681) is also within normal values, averaging (3.674). Dividend Yield (0.066) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.238) is also within normal values, averaging (9.193).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ATHM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ATHM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 56.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.11K to 1.7T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.7T. The lowest valued company is MSEZ at 1.11K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4,356%. BZFD experienced the highest price growth at 59%, while QTTOY experienced the biggest fall at -70%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -45%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: -41 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CHINA COMPANIES
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ATHMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

an operator of websites for automobile and digital device information

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

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Internet Software Or Services
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ATHM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ATHM has been loosely correlated with TME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ATHM jumps, then TME could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ATHM
1D Price
Change %
ATHM100%
-1.13%
TME - ATHM
60%
Loosely correlated
-1.49%
YY - ATHM
53%
Loosely correlated
-1.75%
WB - ATHM
52%
Loosely correlated
-5.58%
BIDU - ATHM
51%
Loosely correlated
-8.08%
MOMO - ATHM
51%
Loosely correlated
-2.39%
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