Chipotle (CMG, $1,755.30) beats Q2 earnings expectations
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill reported second quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The fast casual restaurant chain's net income came in at $6.60 a share, compared to the $6.50 per share predicted by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The earnings were also higher than the year-ago quarter’s 29 cents. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $7.46 a share, also topping analysts’ estimate of $6.53; the figure is also above the year-ago quarter’s 40 cents.
Revenue rose +39% year-over-year to $1.89 billion in the quarter, compared to analysts’ estimate of $1.88 billion.
Chipotle has projected comparable restaurant sales growth in the low- to mid-double digits for the third quarter.
Chipotle Chief Executive Brian Niccol indicated that the company is optimistic on achieving its goal of $3 million average unit volumes with “industry leading returns” on invested capital that are expected to improve as it continues to add Chipotlane drive-through lanes.
CMG sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On May 30, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for CMG moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 50 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 26, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMG as a result. In of 66 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 332 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CMG moved out of overbought territory on May 23, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMG turned negative on May 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (23.095) is normal, around the industry mean (8.537). P/E Ratio (56.180) is within average values for comparable stocks, (162.797). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.065) is also within normal values, averaging (2.130). CMG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (6.456) is also within normal values, averaging (50.677).
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High and low price notable news
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants
CMG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMG has been loosely correlated with FRSH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CMG jumps, then FRSH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CMG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMG | 100% | +0.25% | ||
| FRSH - CMG | 61% Loosely correlated | +6.06% | ||
| DRI - CMG | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| CNNE - CMG | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| SBUX - CMG | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| CAKE - CMG | 52% Loosely correlated | -2.52% | ||
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