Chipotle (CMG, $1,755.30) beats Q2 earnings expectations
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill reported second quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The fast casual restaurant chain's net income came in at $6.60 a share, compared to the $6.50 per share predicted by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The earnings were also higher than the year-ago quarter’s 29 cents. Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $7.46 a share, also topping analysts’ estimate of $6.53; the figure is also above the year-ago quarter’s 40 cents.
Revenue rose +39% year-over-year to $1.89 billion in the quarter, compared to analysts’ estimate of $1.88 billion.
Chipotle has projected comparable restaurant sales growth in the low- to mid-double digits for the third quarter.
Chipotle Chief Executive Brian Niccol indicated that the company is optimistic on achieving its goal of $3 million average unit volumes with “industry leading returns” on invested capital that are expected to improve as it continues to add Chipotlane drive-through lanes.
CMG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on June 16, 2025
CMG moved above its 50-day moving average on June 16, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 31 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMG as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMG just turned positive on June 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where CMG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 292 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (21.231) is normal, around the industry mean (7.581). P/E Ratio (48.717) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.620). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.370) is also within normal values, averaging (1.915). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.570) is also within normal values, averaging (8.675).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants
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