Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill jumped +1.2% Monday, following a rating upgrade from Wedbush.
Analyst Nick Setyan upgraded his rating of the fast food restaurant chain' shares to outperform from neutral. He also boosted his 12-month stock price target from $780 to $980, the highest target of all the analysts surveyed by FactSet.
Setyan indicated that Chipotle is in a leading position to “enable a multi-year streak of mid- to high single digit SSS growth”, amidst a growing focus on digital transaction sin the industry. The analyst also hopes that new menu items like quesadillas, carne asada and white queso would bolster same-store sales growth for Chipotle.
In July, the chain’s second-quarter results revealed that its digital sales nearly doubled. Digital sales surged +99.1%, and contributed to 18.2% of total sales for the quarter. This was the program’s first full quarter since it began.
Setyan mentioned that loyalty would be a strong, key driver of penetration of Chipotle’s own app among consumers. He said CMG would be “at the top of restaurant apps” in terms of its popularity of usage on handheld devices.
CMG saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on April 19, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 69 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CMG moved out of overbought territory on April 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 49 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMG turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 349 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CMG's P/B Ratio (25.840) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.049). P/E Ratio (65.048) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.928). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.514) is also within normal values, averaging (1.988). CMG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (8.097) is also within normal values, averaging (3.235).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants