Pershing Square Holdings, the hedge fund led by the billionaire Bill Ackman, delivered a strong performance in the first quarter of 2019. Its full net asset value per share rose 36.9% during the said quarter and surged 38.4% year-to-date.
Key holdings in the fund’s portfolio include Chipotle Mexican Grill accounting for 9.8% of the fund, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) accounting for 5.3%, and Starbucks (SBUX) making up 3.2% of the fund.
Chipotle Mexican Grill rose above the res, whose store sales grew by 10% in the said quarter. Its digital sales doubled y-o-y to almost 16% of overall sales coupled by a strong delivery strategy that has further increased sales and improved margins.
The hedge fund thinks that Chipotle is on a path to transformation that will expand its footprint and astounding growth in sales and profits in the future.
Restaurant Brands was the second best performer of the fund whose unit count expanded by more than 5% and EBITDA grew by 6%.
On the other hand, Starbucks grew 7% in Q1 opening another 30,000 stores globally. The fund believes the company can still have a better future in China where currently it is under-penetrated.
CMG moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 27 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMG as a result. In of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMG just turned positive on November 21, 2024. Looking at past instances where CMG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 331 cases where CMG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CMG moved out of overbought territory on December 09, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CMG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CMG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (24.570) is normal, around the industry mean (10.775). P/E Ratio (60.568) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.461). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.259) is also within normal values, averaging (1.856). CMG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.037). P/S Ratio (8.190) is also within normal values, averaging (8.703).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants
Industry Restaurants