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May 20, 2019
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, $719.61) stands out as top performer in Pershing’s fund

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG, $719.61) stands out as top performer in Pershing’s fund

Pershing Square Holdings, the hedge fund led by the billionaire Bill Ackman, delivered a strong performance in the first quarter of 2019. Its full net asset value per share rose 36.9% during the said quarter and surged 38.4% year-to-date.

Key holdings in the fund’s portfolio include Chipotle Mexican Grill accounting for 9.8% of the fund, Restaurant Brands International (QSR) accounting for 5.3%, and Starbucks (SBUX) making up 3.2% of the fund.

Chipotle Mexican Grill rose above the res,  whose store sales grew by 10% in the said quarter. Its digital sales doubled y-o-y to almost 16% of overall sales coupled by a strong delivery strategy that has further increased sales and improved margins.

The hedge fund thinks that Chipotle is on a path to transformation that will expand its footprint and astounding growth in sales and profits in the future.

Restaurant Brands was the second best performer of the fund whose unit count expanded by more than 5% and EBITDA grew by 6%.

On the other hand, Starbucks grew 7% in Q1 opening another 30,000 stores globally. The fund believes the company can still have a better future in China where currently it is under-penetrated.

Related Ticker: CMG

CMG in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on March 27, 2026

CMG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 35 cases where CMG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CMG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CMG as a result. In of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMG just turned positive on April 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMG advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CMG entered a downward trend on April 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CMG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CMG's P/B Ratio (15.674) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.627). P/E Ratio (29.904) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.649). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.916) is also within normal values, averaging (1.598). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.148) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.837) is also within normal values, averaging (1.812).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CMG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Yum! Brands (NYSE:YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG), Darden Restaurants (NYSE:DRI), Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Dominos Pizza Inc (NASDAQ:DPZ), Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK), Noodles & Co (NASDAQ:NDLS).

Industry description

The industry includes companies that operate full-service restaurants, fast food restaurants, cafeterias and snack bars. McDonald`s Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, YUM! Brands, Inc. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. are some of the largest U.S. restaurant-owning companies in terms of market capitalization. While restaurant spending could be viewed as discretionary for consumers, some companies in the business have been able to weather economic cycles by establishing strong loyalty among customers over the years. Many of them also have a strong global presence as well.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Restaurants Industry is 7.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.74K to 217.29B. MCD holds the highest valuation in this group at 217.29B. The lowest valued company is BFICQ at 2.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. TWNPQ experienced the highest price growth at 57%, while DPCDF experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Restaurants Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CMG showed earnings on February 03, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of fast-casual, fresh Mexican food restaurants

Industry Restaurants

Profile
Details
Industry
Restaurants
Address
610 Newport Center Drive
Phone
+1 949 524-4000
Employees
116068
Web
https://www.chipotle.com
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