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published in Blogs
Sep 26, 2019

Cigna (CI, $150.56) is "compelling" , says Citigroup analysts

According to a group of Citigroup analysts, Cigna is "one of the most compelling stocks and stories" they have seen across 20 years on the sell side.

The group of analysts feels that the health services company has the right goals coupled with a strong historical performance, a solid strategy, improved positioning, and a balanced growth outlook – while having a low valuation.

Analyst Ralph Giacobbe mentioned that Cigna is trading at a 27% discount to peers and 49% discount to the market.

Citigroup gave Cigna shares a “buy” rating. It set a $203 target price on the shares, which would be 11 times the 2020 estimate. The target indicates upside of 31% from Wednesday's close price.

However, Giacobbe did mention that the outlook is not without a few risks, such as  a potential unexpected increase in healthcare-costs, heated competition from peers, the risks inherent in integrating Express Scripts, and general headline risks from the focus on drug pricing and the evolving pharmacy-benefit-manager model.

 

Related Ticker: CI

CI in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024

CI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 43 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 11, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CI as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CI just turned positive on March 14, 2024. Looking at past instances where CI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CI advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 262 cases where CI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.234) is normal, around the industry mean (3.067). P/E Ratio (20.936) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.928) is also within normal values, averaging (1.089). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.554) is also within normal values, averaging (0.671).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Unitedhealth Group (NYSE:UNH), Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV), Cigna Group (The) (NYSE:CI), CVS HEALTH Corp (NYSE:CVS), Humana (NYSE:HUM), Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC).

Industry description

Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Managed Health Care Industry is 59.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.42M to 451.47B. UNH holds the highest valuation in this group at 451.47B. The lowest valued company is HRAA at 3.42M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 32%. MRAI experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while NEUE experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -19% and the average quarterly volume growth was 80%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 37
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 46
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 64
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
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CIDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of health insurance services

Industry ManagedHealthCare

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Managed Health Care
Address
900 Cottage Grove Road
Phone
+1 860 226-6000
Employees
72500
Web
https://www.cigna.com
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