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Nov 10, 2021
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Coinbase (COIN, $357.39) misses Q3 earnings expectations

Coinbase (COIN, $357.39) misses Q3 earnings expectations

Coinbase Global  shares fell on Tuesday, after the company disappointed on third quarter earnings.

The biggest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange earnings for the third quarter came in at $1.62 a share, up from 23 cents a year ago. But they fell short of the $1.77 a share expected by analysts polled by FactSet.

Coinbase reported quarterly revenue of $1.31 billion, in line with analysts’ estimates and more than four times the year-ago quarter’s  $315 million.

The company mentioned the volatile nature of its business, and emphasized the importance of long-term investing.  “As our year-to-date results have clearly demonstrated, our business is volatile,” the company said. “Coinbase is not a quarter-to-quarter investment, but rather a long-term investment in the growth of the crypto-economy and our ability to serve users through our products and services.”

Regarding the company’s guidance for the fourth quarter,  it said that October trends include higher levels of activity among retail traders who have historically traded more on Coinbase during periods of heightened volatility. “We believe that retail monthly transacting users and total trading volume will be higher in Q4 as compared to Q3,” the company stated.

Related Ticker: COIN

COIN sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

COIN saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 30, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on COIN as a result. In 79 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

COIN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for COIN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COIN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for COIN entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for COIN moved above the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +1.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COIN advanced for three days, in 228 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

COIN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.934) is normal, around the industry mean (4.113). COIN's P/E Ratio (-37.584) is considerably lower than the industry average of (19.316). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.293) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.331) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. COIN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COIN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Financial Publishing/Services Industry is 45.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.27M to 140.08B. SPGI holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.08B. The lowest valued company is BTOG at 1.27M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 12%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. ICE experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while COIN experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 80
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 37
SMR Rating: 52
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Industry FinancialPublishingServices

Industry
N/A
Address
One Madison Avenue
Phone
+1 302 636-5401
Employees
4951
Web
https://www.coinbase.com
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