Consumer Discretionary ETF Hitting Downward Sloped Trend Line as Earnings Season Kicks Off
Stocks have bounce back nicely since the selloff on Christmas Eve. All 10 of the main sectors have gained ground during this period, and the S&P is up 10.43% from the close on December 24 through the close on January 11. The energy sector has led the way during this rally, but the consumer discretionary sector has the second biggest gain at 13.7% over the 13 trading days in question.
While the rally has likely made investors more comfortable, they might not want to get too comfortable as some of the sector ETFs and index ETFs are starting to hit potential resistance points. One sector ETF that is hitting a possible resistance point is the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLY).
The ETF has jumped from down around the $92 level to close at $104.58 on Friday. This puts the XLY in contact with a downward sloped trend line that connects the highs from October and December.
It should also be noted that the XLY is overbought based on the daily stochastic readings and the indicators just made a bearish crossover.
The ETF hitting the trend line at this time is notable as earnings season kicks off this week and three of the top six holdings in the XLY will be reporting quarterly results between now and the end of January. These earnings reports could serve to help the XLY break out of the downward trend or they could be the catalyst that causes it to resume the downward trend.
VCR sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for VCR moved above the 200-day moving average on June 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VCR as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VCR just turned positive on June 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where VCR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for VCR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VCR advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where VCR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
VCR moved below its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VCR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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Category ConsumerDiscretionary
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