Cowen analysts slashed their price target on Tesla, and also lowered their estimates on first-quarter delivery of Model 3 cars.
Cowen’s latest price target for the electric car maker’s stock is $180, down from $200. The analysts now expect Tesla to deliver 47,500 Model 3s this quarter, compared to their previous forecast of 55,000.
Cowen analyst Jeffrey Osborne seems skeptical on the U.S. market for Tesla cars, and anticipates the demand to decline until Tesla introduces a planned $35,000 version of the Model 3 in the second quarter. The analyst also mentioned that Tesla’s product price changes and the resulting pressure on margins have been incorporated in Cowen’s latest price targets on Tesla stock.
According to Cowen’s analysis, most of Tesla's first-quarter deliveries (22,000) is expected to come from the U.S. Additionally, China would probably deliver 10,000, Norway would supply 5,300, and the rest of Europe (outside of Norway) would account for 5,850 deliveries, according to the Cowen analysts’ forecasts.
TSLA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 29, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 306 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 306 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSLA as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for TSLA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSLA advanced for three days, in of 351 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSLA moved out of overbought territory on November 25, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where TSLA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TSLA turned negative on November 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSLA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TSLA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.905) is normal, around the industry mean (6.142). P/E Ratio (40.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (5.723). TSLA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.042). P/S Ratio (6.305) is also within normal values, averaging (78.580).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of electric sports cars
Industry MotorVehicles