Casual shoe manufacturer Crocs (Nasdaq: CROX) has not been participating in the 2019 rally, at least it hasn’t up until now. The stock has been trending lower since early January and is down just over 21% on the year.
Crocs has rallied in the last few weeks since its June 19 low, but that rally has only brought the stock up to its 50-day moving average and the trend line could act as resistance now.
We see that the rally brought the daily stochastic readings out of oversold territory and they just touched overbought territory earlier this week. The indicators have since turned lower and made a bearish crossover on June 11.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for Crocs on June 10 and the signal showed a confidence level of 75%. The signal is predicting a decline of at least 4% within the next month and previous predictions on the stock have been successful 90% of the time.
The company has struggled in recent years with flat earnings and sales over the last three years. The management efficiency ratings are mixed with a solid ROE of 33.4%, but the profit margin is only 6.5%.
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Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CROX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CROX just turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where CROX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +0.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CROX advanced for three days, in 209 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
CROX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CROX as a result. In 69 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
CROX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CROX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator for CROX entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 1 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CROX's P/B Ratio (4.237) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.589). P/E Ratio (10.857) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.101). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). CROX's Dividend Yield (0.067) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.777).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CROX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CROX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retailer of footwear for men, women and children
Industry WholesaleDistributors