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Jul 12, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Crocs trending lower as the market moves higher

Crocs trending lower as the market moves higher

Casual shoe manufacturer Crocs (Nasdaq: CROX) has not been participating in the 2019 rally, at least it hasn’t up until now. The stock has been trending lower since early January and is down just over 21% on the year.

Crocs has rallied in the last few weeks since its June 19 low, but that rally has only brought the stock up to its 50-day moving average and the trend line could act as resistance now.

We see that the rally brought the daily stochastic readings out of oversold territory and they just touched overbought territory earlier this week. The indicators have since turned lower and made a bearish crossover on June 11.

The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine generated a bearish signal for Crocs on June 10 and the signal showed a confidence level of 75%. The signal is predicting a decline of at least 4% within the next month and previous predictions on the stock have been successful 90% of the time.

The company has struggled in recent years with flat earnings and sales over the last three years. The management efficiency ratings are mixed with a solid ROE of 33.4%, but the profit margin is only 6.5%.

Related Ticker: CROX

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


Momentum Indicator for CROX turns positive, indicating new upward trend

CROX saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CROX just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where CROX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

CROX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CROX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 17 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Following a +4.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CROX advanced for three days, in 201 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 143 of 212 cases where CROX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CROX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

CROX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CROX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CROX's P/B Ratio (5.258) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.998). P/E Ratio (13.403) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.296). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.067) settles around the average of (0.057) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.162).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CROX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 7.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 22K to 57.25B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 57.25B. The lowest valued company is JALA at 22K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 26%. FOSL experienced the highest price growth at 18%, while FMFC experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 38%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a retailer of footwear for men, women and children

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
500 Eldorado Boulevard
Phone
+1 303 848-7000
Employees
8010
Web
https://www.crocs.com
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