CrowdStrike Holdings (Nasdaq: CRWD) is an infrastructure software company that offers security solutions at different levels through its Falcon platform. CrowdStrike went public back on June 12 and the stock has been all over the board since it debuted. It jumped from around $60 to over $100 in August, only to fall back below the $50 level in the past few months.
From a fundamental perspective, CrowdStrike seems to be running in to the same problem a number of companies that debuted in 2019 have run in to—if you aren't profitable, your stock will pay the price. Since going public, the company has issued two earnings reports with EPS of $-0.47 and $-0.18. Analysts expect the company to lose $0.63 per share for the year as a whole and they expect the company to lose $0.35 in 2020.
Because the company is losing money, there isn't a calculable return on equity and the profit margin is -53.8%.
CrowdStrike has performed well in terms of its sales growth with sales growing by an average of 114% per year over the last three years and they jumped by 94% in the third quarter.
The sales growth is one of the few positive fundamental indicators for the company at this time. There are a number of indicators from Tickeron that are well below average. For instance, the Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 indicates that the company is overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks.
The Price Growth Rating for CrowdStrike is a 93 and that indicates that the price growth is far below average, meaning the stock's price has grown at a lower rate over the last 12 months compared to S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 points to highest price growth (largest percent return) while a rating of 100 points to lowest price growth (smallest percent return).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for CrowdStrike is 100 and that is the worst rating a company can get. It indicates that the returns do not compensate for the risks. The company's unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within the last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
Looking at the chart we see how the stock jumped after its debut, but peaked near $100 in August. Since then the stock dropped in half and recently rebounded back to its IPO price.
A rally over the last week or so saw the stock jump from the $45 area back up to the $60 area which is where the stock debuted back in June. This could be an area of resistance just based on that fact.
The recent rally caused the overbought/oversold indicators to jump to overbought territory. The daily stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on November 19 and that could be a bad sign for the stock.
Looking at the sentiment toward CrowdStrike, it is relatively neutral. There are 20 analysts covering the stock with 12 "buy" ratings, seven "hold" ratings, and one "sell" rating. That puts the buy percentage at 60% which is slightly below average. The short interest ratio is at 3.1 which is right at average.
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where CRWD declined for three days, in of 280 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CRWD as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
CRWD moved below its 50-day moving average on April 04, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CRWD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 10, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for CRWD entered a downward trend on April 19, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CRWD's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where CRWD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRWD advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CRWD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRWD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (33.557) is normal, around the industry mean (29.911). CRWD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (863.622) as compared to the industry average of (155.220). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.384) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (25.510) is also within normal values, averaging (55.249).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CRWD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company, which provides cloud-delivered solution for next-generation endpoint protection.
Industry PackagedSoftware