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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 21, 2019

CrowdStrike Holdings struggling after IPO

CrowdStrike Holdings (Nasdaq: CRWD) is an infrastructure software company that offers security solutions at different levels through its Falcon platform. CrowdStrike went public back on June 12 and the stock has been all over the board since it debuted. It jumped from around $60 to over $100 in August, only to fall back below the $50 level in the past few months.

From a fundamental perspective, CrowdStrike seems to be running in to the same problem a number of companies that debuted in 2019 have run in to—if you aren't profitable, your stock will pay the price. Since going public, the company has issued two earnings reports with EPS of $-0.47 and $-0.18. Analysts expect the company to lose $0.63 per share for the year as a whole and they expect the company to lose $0.35 in 2020.

Because the company is losing money, there isn't a calculable return on equity and the profit margin is -53.8%.

CrowdStrike has performed well in terms of its sales growth with sales growing by an average of 114% per year over the last three years and they jumped by 94% in the third quarter.

The sales growth is one of the few positive fundamental indicators for the company at this time. There are a number of indicators from Tickeron that are well below average. For instance, the Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 indicates that the company is overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks.

The Price Growth Rating for CrowdStrike is a 93 and that indicates that the price growth is far below average, meaning the stock's price has grown at a lower rate over the last 12 months compared to S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 points to highest price growth (largest percent return) while a rating of 100 points to lowest price growth (smallest percent return).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for CrowdStrike is 100 and that is the worst rating a company can get. It indicates that the returns do not compensate for the risks. The company's unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within the last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Looking at the chart we see how the stock jumped after its debut, but peaked near $100 in August. Since then the stock dropped in half and recently rebounded back to its IPO price.

A rally over the last week or so saw the stock jump from the $45 area back up to the $60 area which is where the stock debuted back in June. This could be an area of resistance just based on that fact.

The recent rally caused the overbought/oversold indicators to jump to overbought territory. The daily stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on November 19 and that could be a bad sign for the stock.

Looking at the sentiment toward CrowdStrike, it is relatively neutral. There are 20 analysts covering the stock with 12 "buy" ratings, seven "hold" ratings, and one "sell" rating. That puts the buy percentage at 60% which is slightly below average. The short interest ratio is at 3.1 which is right at average.

Related Ticker: CRWD

Aroon Indicator for CRWD shows an upward move is likely

CRWD's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on July 16, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 343 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 343 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart
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Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. CMAX experienced the highest price growth at 220%, while NXTT experienced the biggest fall at -64%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 10% and the average quarterly volume growth was 20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company, which provides cloud-delivered solution for next-generation endpoint protection.

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
206 East 9th Street
Phone
+1 888 512-8906
Employees
7925
Web
https://www.crowdstrike.com
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