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Nov 21, 2019
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CrowdStrike Holdings struggling after IPO

CrowdStrike Holdings struggling after IPO

CrowdStrike Holdings (Nasdaq: CRWD) is an infrastructure software company that offers security solutions at different levels through its Falcon platform. CrowdStrike went public back on June 12 and the stock has been all over the board since it debuted. It jumped from around $60 to over $100 in August, only to fall back below the $50 level in the past few months.

From a fundamental perspective, CrowdStrike seems to be running in to the same problem a number of companies that debuted in 2019 have run in to—if you aren't profitable, your stock will pay the price. Since going public, the company has issued two earnings reports with EPS of $-0.47 and $-0.18. Analysts expect the company to lose $0.63 per share for the year as a whole and they expect the company to lose $0.35 in 2020.

Because the company is losing money, there isn't a calculable return on equity and the profit margin is -53.8%.

CrowdStrike has performed well in terms of its sales growth with sales growing by an average of 114% per year over the last three years and they jumped by 94% in the third quarter.

The sales growth is one of the few positive fundamental indicators for the company at this time. There are a number of indicators from Tickeron that are well below average. For instance, the Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 indicates that the company is overvalued in the industry. A rating of 1 points to the most undervalued stocks, while a rating of 100 points to the most overvalued stocks.

The Price Growth Rating for CrowdStrike is a 93 and that indicates that the price growth is far below average, meaning the stock's price has grown at a lower rate over the last 12 months compared to S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 points to highest price growth (largest percent return) while a rating of 100 points to lowest price growth (smallest percent return).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for CrowdStrike is 100 and that is the worst rating a company can get. It indicates that the returns do not compensate for the risks. The company's unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant drawdowns within the last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Looking at the chart we see how the stock jumped after its debut, but peaked near $100 in August. Since then the stock dropped in half and recently rebounded back to its IPO price.

A rally over the last week or so saw the stock jump from the $45 area back up to the $60 area which is where the stock debuted back in June. This could be an area of resistance just based on that fact.

The recent rally caused the overbought/oversold indicators to jump to overbought territory. The daily stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on November 19 and that could be a bad sign for the stock.

Looking at the sentiment toward CrowdStrike, it is relatively neutral. There are 20 analysts covering the stock with 12 "buy" ratings, seven "hold" ratings, and one "sell" rating. That puts the buy percentage at 60% which is slightly below average. The short interest ratio is at 3.1 which is right at average.

Related Ticker: CRWD

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


CRWD's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for CRWD moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 32 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 66 cases where CRWD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CRWD turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CRWD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CRWD as a result. In 70 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

CRWD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +4.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CRWD advanced for three days, in 287 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

CRWD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 249 of 317 cases where CRWD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CRWD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (49.108) is normal, around the industry mean (16.593). CRWD's P/E Ratio (6524.800) is considerably higher than the industry average of (57.337). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.296) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.283) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (45.662) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:CRWD), Block Inc (NYSE:XYZ), NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), Zscaler (NASDAQ:ZS), Okta (NASDAQ:OKTA), Twilio (NYSE:TWLO), MongoDB (NASDAQ:MDB).

Industry description

Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Communications Industry is 34.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48.8K to 3.87T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.87T. The lowest valued company is WMHI at 48.8K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. CHOW experienced the highest price growth at 110%, while RZAI experienced the biggest fall at -45%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Communications Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company, which provides cloud-delivered solution for next-generation endpoint protection.

Industry ComputerCommunications

Industry
N/A
Address
206 E. 9th Street
Phone
+1 888 512-8906
Employees
10698
Web
https://www.crowdstrike.com
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