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Dec 30, 2020
Crypto overview: week of 12/28-1/1

Crypto overview: week of 12/28-1/1

As this year has proven once again, tangible and intangible assets with low or no stock market correlation gain traction during uncertain times. 

 

After soaring to another absolute maximum early Sunday morning, Bitcoin is still on the rise, following some white noise fluctuations. Since an approximate 41% drop on March 14, (around the time the lockdown was beginning), BTC.X saw a steady rise throughout 2020, with a 43% surge from December 12 through yesterday, December 28. Tickeron’s outlook, as of today, is fairly positive, with four technical indicators, one fundamental analysis rating, and our A.I. predicting a short-term bullish trend with an average likelihood of 52%. Notably, the A.I. Trend Prediction — Tickeron’s backtested algo basing its predictions on previous outcomes of similar price fluctuations — confidently says an uptrend is predicted with a 84% chance. However, four indicators and ratings point to a downward trend with 33% odds, in addition to the Stochastic and RSI indicators, which both have BTC.X as overbought, so the trader is advised to be cautiously optimistic. A good way to gauge general sentiment is to visit Community Trend Predictions under the Academy / Community tab to see what other Tickeron users, including experts, think will happen in the next week or month.

 

Ethereum, after a reversal to its pre-January levels in the middle of March, has been hiking upward, with notable zeal, especially starting December 24. Tickeron has a strong buy on ETH.X, with six technical indicators assuredly promising smooth sailing with an average 67% likelihood. Furthermore, all of the Tickeron signals since July (the earliest available), had an uptrend for ETH.X. According to the 1-year graph, all the signals were proven correct. However, small fluctuations may be in store, according to RSI and Stochastic indicators.

 

After a 51% crash following an inconvenient dispute with the SEC about treating XRP as a security and holding unregistered sales, XRP Ripple has returned to its pre-November-spike status of trading below $0.3. However, despite the collapse on Dec 26, Tickeron has XRP at a 50% likelihood for an uptrend, as the RSI indicator moves into the oversold zone. Our Pattern Search Engine has the ticker at a 50% probability to follow a Cup-and-Handle pattern, emerged on December 21. However, we’ve yet to see a breakout. With a 170% distance to target price, it’s not looking likely, but a good bet if XRP finds a way to save face.

 

The coming week spells uncertainty for Tezos as the price oscillates around the $2 mark, dropping to $1.8 and reaching $2.2 within the course of five days. Six of our indicators point toward a downtrend while four are confident about an uptrend, both of these values averaging around 60%. Having dropped below its 50-day average on Dec 21, the price is anticipated to fall further. This is supported by the Broadening Bottom pattern, which emerged on December 23 and points to a downtrend. and However, our AI Trend Predictions shows a bullish tendency based on 97 previous situations with similar confidence levels to the ones Tezos is currently experiencing, with a 67% likelihood. This is supported by the RSI indicator, confirming that the coin has left the oversold zone and is trending upward. 

Related Ticker: BTC.X

Contributor

Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.


BTC.X's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC.X turned positive on August 18, 2026. Looking at past instances where BTC.X's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 66 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 19, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BTC.X as a result. In of 144 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BTC.X moved above its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in of 425 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 389 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BTC.X broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.55T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.55T to 1.55T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.55T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.55T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 22%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 19%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at 22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 320%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 73% and the average quarterly volume growth was -17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
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Quantum Computing Inc. completed a $110 million acquisition of Luminar Semiconductor on February 2, significantly strengthening its photonics and manufacturing capabilities. Shares have traded with elevated volatility, peaking near $12.70 in mid-January before retreating to the $9 range amid heavy volume.
ERII shares have remained resilient, trading near $15.47 ahead of Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings scheduled for February 25, 2026. Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $32 million and EPS of $0.07, despite year-over-year declines tied to project timing.
Liberty Broadband Corporation (LBRDA) has experienced pronounced swings in recent weeks, touching multiyear lows before staging a sharp recovery. The stock continues to trade within a wide 52-week range, closely tied to the value of its Charter Communications stake and investor expectations around the proposed merger.
Apollo Global Management (APO), a leading alternative asset manager, reports Q4 and full-year 2025 results on February 9, 2026, before the market opens. The firm has delivered a year of strong growth, with AUM expanding on record inflows exceeding $200 billion and origination surpassing $300 billion.
Arm Holdings (ARM) shares have demonstrated resilience in recent sessions, rebounding after an initial earnings-related pullback and stabilizing near technical support levels. While smartphone-related headwinds tied to memory shortages pressured sentiment, momentum in AI-driven data center royalties helped restore confidence.
Shell plc (SHEL) reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.3 billion, below expectations due to weaker oil prices and non-cash tax charges. Full-year adjusted earnings reached $18.5 billion, supported by strong LNG and upstream operations. A 4% dividend increase to $0.372 per share and a new $3.5 billion buyback program reinforce capital return commitments.
Linde (LIN) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.20, topping estimates, with full-year revenue reaching $34 billion. 2026 EPS guidance of $17.40–$17.90 implies 6–9% growth, supported by a record $10 billion project backlog.
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, missing estimates due to weaker oil prices. Full-year adjusted earnings totaled $7.7 billion, with $19.9 billion in operating cash flow. Shares have gained more than 10% in recent weeks, supported by analyst upgrades and sector momentum.
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has navigated recent market volatility while remaining within its 52-week range. Broader weakness in financial data and exchange operators has created short-term pressure, but ICE’s diversified business model continues to provide stability.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $779 million, up 5.9% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.82, beating expectations. Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $2.62 billion, down 10.2% year over year, but adjusted diluted EPS climbed 14% to $1.77, well above estimates.
(OMC) Omnicom’s fourth-quarter report, released February 18, 2026, marked its first earnings update incorporating results from Interpublic Group (IPG), acquired on November 26, 2025. The combination created the world’s largest marketing services firm by revenue, a significant milestone as the advertising industry consolidates and adapts to digital transformation.
Copart (CPRT) is set to report fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on February 19, 2026, after market close. Consensus calls for EPS of $0.39–$0.40 and revenue of $1.15–$1.18 billion. Global Payments (GPN) posted Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.18, in line with expectations, and adjusted net revenue of $2.32 billion, up 6% in constant currency (excluding dispositions). Thomson Reuters (TRI) delivered Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.07 and revenue of $2.01 billion, up 5% year over year, supported by recurring subscription growth.
Unilever PLC (UL) leads year-to-date performance with a 12.61% gain, ahead of Diageo plc (DEO) at 9.90% and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) at 4.27%. DEO offers the highest dividend yield at 4.35%, compared with KDP (3.16%) and UL (2.97%). All three stocks carry low betas—DEO (0.18), UL (0.24), and KDP (0.35)—highlighting their defensive characteristics.
Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results: Revenue of $333M and adjusted EBITDA of $50M (15% margin), exceeding analyst expectations. FY2026 Guidance Raised: Adjusted EBITDA now projected at $225M, with revenue reaffirmed near $1.5B. EV Backlog Growth: 855 electric buses worth $277M, highlighting robust demand supported by EPA clean bus funding.
IBM fell over 10% today mainly because a new AI tool from Anthropic is seen as a direct threat to IBM’s lucrative COBOL modernization and consulting business, triggering worries that key legacy‑modernization revenue will be automated away.
Today’s drop is mainly about competitive positioning and future growth expectations, not an immediate collapse of current Wegovy/Ozempic sales, but it signals that Novo may not have the strongest next‑wave obesity drug versus Eli Lilly, which is why the stock sold off so sharply.
RNG (RingCentral) dropped over 12% today mainly as a sharp pullback after a very steep recent run‑up driven by upbeat Q4 results, guidance, and capital‑return news, with profit‑taking amplified by valuation concerns and a weak broader tech tap
Fundamentally, the latest public guidance is still for rapid growth and profitability, but today’s drop reflects a reset of sentiment and valuation rather than a brand‑new deterioration in those targets. For investors, the key question is whether the current price appropriately reflects execution risk, competition in diagnostics, and macro volatility after the guidance‑driven rally and subsequent reversal.
TNC (Tennant Company) is down more than 25% today because it reported a very large earnings and revenue miss for Q4 2025, blamed on serious ERP rollout problems and weaker demand, and guided to a slower‑than‑hoped recovery in 2026.
XMTR (Xometry) is down more than 21% today because, despite reporting record growth and an earnings beat, the company announced a CEO transition and investors used the news to take profits after a big prior run‑up, with heavy short interest amplifying the drop.
Crypto overview: week of 12/28-1/1