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Dec 30, 2020

Crypto overview: week of 12/28-1/1

As this year has proven once again, tangible and intangible assets with low or no stock market correlation gain traction during uncertain times. 

 

After soaring to another absolute maximum early Sunday morning, Bitcoin is still on the rise, following some white noise fluctuations. Since an approximate 41% drop on March 14, (around the time the lockdown was beginning), BTC.X saw a steady rise throughout 2020, with a 43% surge from December 12 through yesterday, December 28. Tickeron’s outlook, as of today, is fairly positive, with four technical indicators, one fundamental analysis rating, and our A.I. predicting a short-term bullish trend with an average likelihood of 52%. Notably, the A.I. Trend Prediction — Tickeron’s backtested algo basing its predictions on previous outcomes of similar price fluctuations — confidently says an uptrend is predicted with a 84% chance. However, four indicators and ratings point to a downward trend with 33% odds, in addition to the Stochastic and RSI indicators, which both have BTC.X as overbought, so the trader is advised to be cautiously optimistic. A good way to gauge general sentiment is to visit Community Trend Predictions under the Academy / Community tab to see what other Tickeron users, including experts, think will happen in the next week or month.

 

Ethereum, after a reversal to its pre-January levels in the middle of March, has been hiking upward, with notable zeal, especially starting December 24. Tickeron has a strong buy on ETH.X, with six technical indicators assuredly promising smooth sailing with an average 67% likelihood. Furthermore, all of the Tickeron signals since July (the earliest available), had an uptrend for ETH.X. According to the 1-year graph, all the signals were proven correct. However, small fluctuations may be in store, according to RSI and Stochastic indicators.

 

After a 51% crash following an inconvenient dispute with the SEC about treating XRP as a security and holding unregistered sales, XRP Ripple has returned to its pre-November-spike status of trading below $0.3. However, despite the collapse on Dec 26, Tickeron has XRP at a 50% likelihood for an uptrend, as the RSI indicator moves into the oversold zone. Our Pattern Search Engine has the ticker at a 50% probability to follow a Cup-and-Handle pattern, emerged on December 21. However, we’ve yet to see a breakout. With a 170% distance to target price, it’s not looking likely, but a good bet if XRP finds a way to save face.

 

The coming week spells uncertainty for Tezos as the price oscillates around the $2 mark, dropping to $1.8 and reaching $2.2 within the course of five days. Six of our indicators point toward a downtrend while four are confident about an uptrend, both of these values averaging around 60%. Having dropped below its 50-day average on Dec 21, the price is anticipated to fall further. This is supported by the Broadening Bottom pattern, which emerged on December 23 and points to a downtrend. and However, our AI Trend Predictions shows a bullish tendency based on 97 previous situations with similar confidence levels to the ones Tezos is currently experiencing, with a 67% likelihood. This is supported by the RSI indicator, confirming that the coin has left the oversold zone and is trending upward. 

Related Ticker: BTC.X

BTC.X in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 24, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In of 135 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on April 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in of 443 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BTC.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 439 cases where BTC.X Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.27T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.27T to 1.27T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.27T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.27T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 5%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 90%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at 5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -28%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was -29% and the average quarterly volume growth was 84%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
BTC.XDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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