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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 22, 2019

CSX Corp. has strong fundamentals and it just got a bullish signal

Railroad operator CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) has rallied nicely since hitting the December low. From the low to the recent high, the stock gained over 38%. Since the rallied started there haven’t been many pullbacks, but rather a couple of sideways moves that allowed the 50-day moving average to catch up and for the stock to move out of the overbought territory.

A trend channel has formed to some degree. This channel was drawn by connecting the highs from February and April. A parallel line was then drawn and it connects the low from December with the low from earlier this week.

The lower rail of the channel and the 50-day moving average are in close proximity to one another. We see that the daily stochastic readings moved below the 30 level for the first time since December and have now made a bullish crossover.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for CSX on May 15 and the signal shows a confidence level of 82%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 71% of previous predictions on CSX have been successful.

The fundamentals for CSX are especially impressive and the company scores very high marks from Investor’s Business Daily’s EPS and SMR rating’s systems. Earnings have grown by an average rate of 32% per year over the last three years and they grew by 31% in the most recently reported quarter.

The company shows a return on equity of 24.3% and a profit margin of 35.1%. The one area where the company is lagging slightly is in sales growth. Sales have only increased at a rate of 3% per year over the last three years.

Related Ticker: CSX

CSX in +1.90% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on May 31, 2024

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where CSX advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

CSX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 06, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CSX as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CSX turned negative on June 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CSX entered a downward trend on June 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CSX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CSX's P/B Ratio (4.995) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.971). P/E Ratio (17.585) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.937). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.969) is also within normal values, averaging (4.113). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.374) is also within normal values, averaging (4.300).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 15.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.1K to 135.51B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 135.51B. The lowest valued company is URAL at 1.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. KIQSF experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while NXPGF experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 32%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -56%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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CSXDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of rail-based transportation services

Industry Railroads

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Railroads
Address
500 Water Street
Phone
+1 904 359-3200
Employees
23000
Web
https://www.csx.com
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