Railroad operator CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX) has rallied nicely since hitting the December low. From the low to the recent high, the stock gained over 38%. Since the rallied started there haven’t been many pullbacks, but rather a couple of sideways moves that allowed the 50-day moving average to catch up and for the stock to move out of the overbought territory.
A trend channel has formed to some degree. This channel was drawn by connecting the highs from February and April. A parallel line was then drawn and it connects the low from December with the low from earlier this week.
The lower rail of the channel and the 50-day moving average are in close proximity to one another. We see that the daily stochastic readings moved below the 30 level for the first time since December and have now made a bullish crossover.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for CSX on May 15 and the signal shows a confidence level of 82%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 71% of previous predictions on CSX have been successful.
The fundamentals for CSX are especially impressive and the company scores very high marks from Investor’s Business Daily’s EPS and SMR rating’s systems. Earnings have grown by an average rate of 32% per year over the last three years and they grew by 31% in the most recently reported quarter.
The company shows a return on equity of 24.3% and a profit margin of 35.1%. The one area where the company is lagging slightly is in sales growth. Sales have only increased at a rate of 3% per year over the last three years.
The 50-day moving average for CSX moved above the 200-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CSX advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CSX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 282 cases where CSX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 23, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CSX as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CSX turned negative on May 23, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CSX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CSX's P/B Ratio (5.058) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.010). P/E Ratio (15.038) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.384). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.562) is also within normal values, averaging (2.150). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.266) is also within normal values, averaging (3.463).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of rail-based transportation services
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CSX has been closely correlated with NSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CSX jumps, then NSC could also see price increases.