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published in Blogs
Jan 18, 2020
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CSX (CSX, $76.40) beats Q4 earnings expectations; misses revenue estimates

CSX (CSX, $76.40) beats Q4 earnings expectations; misses revenue estimates

CSX reported  fourth-quarter earnings that exceeded analysts' expectations. Its revenue, however, fell short of estimates.

The freight railroad company’s earnings for the quarter came in at  99 cents a share, compared to the 97 cents a share expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The figure is also -2% lower from the year-ago quarter.

Revenue declined -8.2% year-over-year to $2.89 billion in the quarter, while analysts polled by FactSet had estimated $2.92 billion.

According to an SEC filing by CSX,  domestic coal declined mainly due to lower shipments of utility coal against continued competition from natural gas. It also mentioned that export coal declined due to lower international shipments of both thermal and metallurgical coal as global benchmark prices fell.

President and Chief Executive James Foote said in a statement that the company’s expenses got reduced  9% from a year earlier, on the back of efficiency gains and volume-related savings. "[Our] employees stepped up to produce efficiencies during tough economic conditions," said Foote.

Related Ticker: CSX

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for CSX turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CSX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 51 of the 90 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 57%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CSX moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 36%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 59 cases where CSX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CSX turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CSX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

CSX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

CSX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CSX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

Following a +2.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CSX advanced for three days, in 172 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 146 of 251 cases where CSX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. CSX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.462) is normal, around the industry mean (3.893). P/E Ratio (28.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.682) is also within normal values, averaging (7.261). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.150) is also within normal values, averaging (3.592).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP), CSX Corp (NASDAQ:CSX), Norfolk Southern Corp (NYSE:NSC).

Industry description

The Railroad industry includes passenger and freight transportation services along rail lines. This also includes companies that provide maintenance and switching duties as part of rail services. Within North America, the industry is largely dominated by some large operators. Several short-line railroads serve regional and local routes. Union Pacific Corporation, Canadian National Railway Company, and CSX Corporation are some of the prominent names in the business. The railroad business is relatively cyclical; economic expansion boost the freight services in particular, while economic stagnation often dampens transportation demand.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Railroads Industry is 46.02B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.75K to 172.38B. UNP holds the highest valuation in this group at 172.38B. The lowest valued company is USDP at 6.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. FSTR experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while NSC experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Railroads Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 55% and the average quarterly volume growth was 6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 74
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of rail-based transportation services

Industry Railroads

Industry
Railroads
Address
500 Water Street
Phone
+1 904 359-3200
Employees
23000
Web
https://www.csx.com
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