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Feb 20, 2019
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CVS beats on Q4 but long-term care business loses

CVS beats on Q4 but long-term care business loses

CVS Health beat fourth-quarter earnings forecasts, but its long-term care business took a $2.2-billion hit out of the company's performance, and its initial 2019 forecast was weaker than expected.

CEO Larry Merlo said in a prepared statement that 2019 would be "a year of transition" as the company integrates the health insurer Aetna, which it purchased in a roughly $69 billion deal last year. A federal judge is still evaluating the acquisition. Earnings adjusted for one-time items totaled $2.14 per share, as revenue jumped more than 12 per cent to $54.24 billion. Analysts expected earnings of $2.09 per share and $54.61 billion in revenue.

Related Ticker: CVS

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Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


CVS in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026

CVS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 36 cases where CVS's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 34 of 54 cases where CVS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Following a +4.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVS advanced for three days, in 223 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 173 of 253 cases where CVS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVS as a result. In 52 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVS turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.

CVS moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CVS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVS's P/B Ratio (1.346) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.520). P/E Ratio (21.950) is within average values for comparable stocks, (126.353). CVS's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.206) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.786). CVS has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.032) as compared to the industry average of (0.009). P/S Ratio (0.283) is also within normal values, averaging (0.569).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CVS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Unitedhealth Group (NYSE:UNH), CVS HEALTH Corp (NYSE:CVS), Elevance Health (NYSE:ELV), Cigna Group (The) (NYSE:CI), Humana (NYSE:HUM), Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC).

Industry description

Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Managed Health Care Industry is 67.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 335.99K to 353.79B. UNH holds the highest valuation in this group at 353.79B. The lowest valued company is IHGP at 335.99K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. PGNY experienced the highest price growth at 22%, while CVS experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Managed Health Care Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 42
Price Growth Rating: 37
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an integrated pharmacy health care provider

Industry ManagedHealthCare

Industry
Drugstore Chains
Address
One CVS Drive
Phone
+1 401 765-1500
Employees
300000
Web
https://www.cvshealth.com
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