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Jan 28, 2019
D.R. Horton (DHI, $37.30) Misses Earnings & Orders Estimates; But Beats Revenue and Home Delivery Expectations

D.R. Horton (DHI, $37.30) Misses Earnings & Orders Estimates; But Beats Revenue and Home Delivery Expectations

D.R. Horton Inc. reported earnings per share of 76 cents, which fell short of FactSet consensus estimate of 78 cents. Its net sales orders increased +3% to touch 11,042 – which was less than FactSet new orders consensus of 11,411.

Chairman Donald Horton attributed rising home prices in recent years and increasing interest rates as factors behind downward pressure on home demand.

Nevertheless, the home construction company still experienced a +52% year-over-year increase in net income which touched $287.2 million in the quarter. Also, revenue increased to $3.52 billion from $3.33 billion, beating FactSet consensus of $3.45 billion. The number of homes closed rose +7% to 11,500, above the FactSet deliveries consensus of 11,439.

Related Ticker: DHI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


DHI in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026

DHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 20 of 27 cases where DHI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in 197 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 175 of 259 cases where DHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DHI as a result. In 55 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DHI turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

DHI moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.619) is normal, around the industry mean (1.946). P/E Ratio (13.145) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.735). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.158) is also within normal values, averaging (3.162). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.202) is also within normal values, averaging (24.207).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 7.51B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.25K to 38.57B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 38.57B. The lowest valued company is BDCC at 4.25K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. BZH experienced the highest price growth at -0%, while IBP experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 74%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 22% and the average quarterly volume growth was -16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: -63 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1341 Horton Circle
Phone
+1 817 390-8200
Employees
14341
Web
https://www.drhorton.com
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D.R. Horton (DHI, $37.30) Misses Earnings & Orders Estimates; But Beats Revenue and Home Delivery Expectations