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published in Blogs
Sep 21, 2021
D.R. Horton (DHI, $87.98) slashes sales outlook, on supply chain constraints

D.R. Horton (DHI, $87.98) slashes sales outlook, on supply chain constraints

D.R. Horton Inc. lowered its forecast for annual revenue and homes closed, on supply chain challenges such as shortages and delivery delays in building materials as well as a tight labor market.

The homebuilding company now expects homes closed between 81,300 and 81,700, down from its prior forecast of 83,000 to 84,500 homes. It now  projects its revenue for fiscal 2021 in the range of $27.4 billion to $27.6 billion, compared to the  previous expectation of $27.6 billion to $28.1 billion.

However, the company expects higher current-quarter home sales gross margin as limited home inventory  relative to strong demand is pushing prices upward.

 

Related Ticker: DHI

DHI in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on March 10, 2026

The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DHI as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DHI turned negative on February 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

DHI moved below its 50-day moving average on March 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 261 cases where DHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.754) is normal, around the industry mean (27.936). P/E Ratio (13.219) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.184). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.167) is also within normal values, averaging (1.704). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.310) is also within normal values, averaging (24.812).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 44.73B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 44.73B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SPHL experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while LGIH experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 51%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 31% and the average quarterly volume growth was 29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 42
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: -23 (-100 ... +100)
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. DHI showed earnings on January 20, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1341 Horton Circle
Phone
+1 817 390-8200
Employees
13450
Web
https://www.drhorton.com
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