D.R. Horton (DHI, $87.98) slashes sales outlook, on supply chain constraints
D.R. Horton Inc. lowered its forecast for annual revenue and homes closed, on supply chain challenges such as shortages and delivery delays in building materials as well as a tight labor market.
The homebuilding company now expects homes closed between 81,300 and 81,700, down from its prior forecast of 83,000 to 84,500 homes. It now projects its revenue for fiscal 2021 in the range of $27.4 billion to $27.6 billion, compared to the previous expectation of $27.6 billion to $28.1 billion.
However, the company expects higher current-quarter home sales gross margin as limited home inventory relative to strong demand is pushing prices upward.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DHI saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for DHI moved out of overbought territory on August 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 59 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 59 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DHI as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DHI moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for DHI entered a downward trend on August 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DHI just turned positive on August 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where DHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for DHI moved above the 200-day moving average on July 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.742) is normal, around the industry mean (2.108). P/E Ratio (14.142) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.141). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.246) is also within normal values, averaging (3.514). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.293) is also within normal values, averaging (27.737).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes
Industry Homebuilding
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