Auto parts manufacturer Dana (NYSE: DAN) pulled back over the last few weeks, but it looks as though the 50-day moving average halted the pullback last Thursday and now the stock looks to be turning higher again.
The stock jumped sharply from the December low, gaining over 65% in just two months. The stock peaked at $20.83 on February 25 and then pulled back to a low of $17.86 last week. The 50-day moving average was just below that level and still climbing.
The daily stochastic readings for Dana dropped sharply during the two-week pullback, moving from overbought territory to oversold territory. Now the indicators have turned higher and have made a bullish crossover.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 15 and that signal called for a gain of at least 2% for the coming week. The signal showed a confidence level of 55% and the previous predictions on Dana have been accurate 75% of the time.
Personally, I can see the stock bounce back up above the $20.80 level and that would be good for a gain of almost 12%. That probably won’t happen in the next week, but perhaps within the next month.
Dana’s fundamentals are pretty good with annual growth in earnings averaging 26% over the last three years while sales have increased at a rate of 14% per year. The company also shows a return on equity of 36.9% and a profit margin of 6.9%.
The 10-day moving average for DAN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DAN as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DAN just turned positive on April 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where DAN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DAN moved above its 50-day moving average on April 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAN advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 225 cases where DAN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DAN moved out of overbought territory on May 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DAN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.163) is normal, around the industry mean (12.326). P/E Ratio (48.615) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.365). DAN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.959). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.173) is also within normal values, averaging (25.890).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a supplier of driveline, sealing, and thermal-management technologies
Industry AutoPartsOEM