Dana (DAN) finds support at its 50-day before turning higher
Auto parts manufacturer Dana (NYSE: DAN) pulled back over the last few weeks, but it looks as though the 50-day moving average halted the pullback last Thursday and now the stock looks to be turning higher again.
The stock jumped sharply from the December low, gaining over 65% in just two months. The stock peaked at $20.83 on February 25 and then pulled back to a low of $17.86 last week. The 50-day moving average was just below that level and still climbing.
The daily stochastic readings for Dana dropped sharply during the two-week pullback, moving from overbought territory to oversold territory. Now the indicators have turned higher and have made a bullish crossover.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 15 and that signal called for a gain of at least 2% for the coming week. The signal showed a confidence level of 55% and the previous predictions on Dana have been accurate 75% of the time.
Personally, I can see the stock bounce back up above the $20.80 level and that would be good for a gain of almost 12%. That probably won’t happen in the next week, but perhaps within the next month.
Dana’s fundamentals are pretty good with annual growth in earnings averaging 26% over the last three years while sales have increased at a rate of 14% per year. The company also shows a return on equity of 36.9% and a profit margin of 6.9%.
DAN's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DAN moved out of overbought territory on December 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 18, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DAN as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DAN turned negative on December 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DAN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
DAN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DAN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 04, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAN advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 229 cases where DAN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.163) is normal, around the industry mean (12.167). P/E Ratio (48.615) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.822). DAN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.959). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.173) is also within normal values, averaging (27.378).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a supplier of driveline, sealing, and thermal-management technologies
Industry AutoPartsOEM