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Mar 26, 2019
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Dana (DAN) finds support at its 50-day before turning higher

Dana (DAN) finds support at its 50-day before turning higher

Auto parts manufacturer Dana (NYSE: DAN) pulled back over the last few weeks, but it looks as though the 50-day moving average halted the pullback last Thursday and now the stock looks to be turning higher again.

The stock jumped sharply from the December low, gaining over 65% in just two months. The stock peaked at $20.83 on February 25 and then pulled back to a low of $17.86 last week. The 50-day moving average was just below that level and still climbing.

The daily stochastic readings for Dana dropped sharply during the two-week pullback, moving from overbought territory to oversold territory. Now the indicators have turned higher and have made a bullish crossover.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on March 15 and that signal called for a gain of at least 2% for the coming week. The signal showed a confidence level of 55% and the previous predictions on Dana have been accurate 75% of the time.

Personally, I can see the stock bounce back up above the $20.80 level and that would be good for a gain of almost 12%. That probably won’t happen in the next week, but perhaps within the next month.

Dana’s fundamentals are pretty good with annual growth in earnings averaging 26% over the last three years while sales have increased at a rate of 14% per year. The company also shows a return on equity of 36.9% and a profit margin of 6.9%.
 

Related Ticker: DAN

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


DAN's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 11 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DAN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 33 of 43 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +11.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DAN advanced for three days, in 225 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

DAN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DAN as a result. In 59 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DAN turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DAN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Aroon Indicator for DAN entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.205) is normal, around the industry mean (0.781). P/E Ratio (2.106) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.070) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.453) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DAN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DAN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 4.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.93K to 72.72B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 72.72B. The lowest valued company is CREVF at 1.93K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19%. HSAI experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while MVST experienced the biggest fall at -64%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was 25%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 49% and the average quarterly volume growth was -30%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a supplier of driveline, sealing, and thermal-management technologies

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Industry
Auto Parts OEM
Address
3939 Technology Drive
Phone
+1 419 887-3000
Employees
26900
Web
https://www.dana.com
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