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published in Blogs
Jan 12, 2022

December inflation hits a 4-decade high

U.S. consumer price annual inflation surged to 7% in December – registering the fastest pace in four decades, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed.

The headline figure indicates an acceleration from the 6.8% pace in November. December’s rate is the highest  since June 1982. Surging prices of used and new cars and rising rental costs largely fueled the increase in prices last month.

On a monthly basis, inflation was +0.5%.

Both annual and month-over-month headline inflation for December were in line with the Street forecasts.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, rose +0.6% month-over-month. It was +5.5% on an annual basis, the highest since February of 1991.

Related Ticker: GOVT

GOVT's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GOVT entered a downward trend on April 16, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 229 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 229 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 05, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOVT as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOVT turned negative on April 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

GOVT moved below its 50-day moving average on April 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GOVT's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GOVT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE U.S. Treasury Core Bond Index (the "underlying index"). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than one year and less than or equal to thirty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value.
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General Information

Category IntermediateGovernment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Category
Intermediate Government
Address
iShares Trust400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
Phone
1-800-474-2737
Web
www.ishares.com
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