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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 12, 2022

December inflation hits a 4-decade high

U.S. consumer price annual inflation surged to 7% in December – registering the fastest pace in four decades, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed.

The headline figure indicates an acceleration from the 6.8% pace in November. December’s rate is the highest  since June 1982. Surging prices of used and new cars and rising rental costs largely fueled the increase in prices last month.

On a monthly basis, inflation was +0.5%.

Both annual and month-over-month headline inflation for December were in line with the Street forecasts.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, rose +0.6% month-over-month. It was +5.5% on an annual basis, the highest since February of 1991.

Related Ticker: GOVT

GOVT in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on February 05, 2025

GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 05, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 32 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 66 cases where GOVT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 13, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVT as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVT just turned positive on January 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where GOVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GOVT moved above its 50-day moving average on February 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 206 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE U.S. Treasury Core Bond Index (the "underlying index"). The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that BFA believes will help the fund track the underlying index. The underlying index includes publicly-issued U.S. Treasury securities that have a remaining maturity greater than one year and less than or equal to thirty years and have $300 million or more of outstanding face value.
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Category IntermediateGovernment

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Intermediate Government
Address
iShares Trust400 Howard StreetSan Francisco
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