December inflation hits a 4-decade high
U.S. consumer price annual inflation surged to 7% in December – registering the fastest pace in four decades, data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed.
The headline figure indicates an acceleration from the 6.8% pace in November. December’s rate is the highest since June 1982. Surging prices of used and new cars and rising rental costs largely fueled the increase in prices last month.
On a monthly basis, inflation was +0.5%.
Both annual and month-over-month headline inflation for December were in line with the Street forecasts.
Core inflation, which excludes volatile components such as food and energy prices, rose +0.6% month-over-month. It was +5.5% on an annual basis, the highest since February of 1991.
Momentum Indicator for GOVT turns negative, indicating new downward trend
GOVT saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 05, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 88 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 88 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOVT turned negative on December 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 58 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
GOVT moved below its 50-day moving average on December 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GOVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVT advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 215 cases where GOVT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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General Information
Category IntermediateGovernment
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