In spite of a challenging fourth quarter, Deutsche Bank declared its first full-year net profit since 2014.
The German lender has been facing series of setbacks owing to fines, several failed restructuring attempts, and money-laundering allegations. The bank admitted that assets under management dropped 5% in the fourth quarter, and its common equity tier-1 ratio, which indicates a bank's strength, dropped to 13.6 % in 2018, versus 14 % at the end of 2017. The profit number of 341 million euros ($390 million) for 2018 failed to beat market consensus, with a Reuters poll of analysts predicting a figure of 461 million euros.
But there is still a bright side. A net revenue of 25 billion euros for the year and 5.5 billion for the fourth quarter missed estimates only narrowly, indicating that this is not too concerning after all.
The bank’s CEO, Christian Sewing, expressed optimism at the full-year results, which show that the company is on the right track after all. The need of the hour is to carry on with this progress in 2019 and not stoop at speculations like a possible merger with a rival company because of the company’s on-going problems.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DB turned positive on April 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where DB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 22, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DB as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DB advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where DB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.389) is normal, around the industry mean (1.022). P/E Ratio (5.252) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.028). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.099) is also within normal values, averaging (2.342). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.980) is also within normal values, averaging (2.971).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry RegionalBanks