In spite of a challenging fourth quarter, Deutsche Bank declared its first full-year net profit since 2014.
The German lender has been facing series of setbacks owing to fines, several failed restructuring attempts, and money-laundering allegations. The bank admitted that assets under management dropped 5% in the fourth quarter, and its common equity tier-1 ratio, which indicates a bank's strength, dropped to 13.6 % in 2018, versus 14 % at the end of 2017. The profit number of 341 million euros ($390 million) for 2018 failed to beat market consensus, with a Reuters poll of analysts predicting a figure of 461 million euros.
But there is still a bright side. A net revenue of 25 billion euros for the year and 5.5 billion for the fourth quarter missed estimates only narrowly, indicating that this is not too concerning after all.
The bank’s CEO, Christian Sewing, expressed optimism at the full-year results, which show that the company is on the right track after all. The need of the hour is to carry on with this progress in 2019 and not stoop at speculations like a possible merger with a rival company because of the company’s on-going problems.
DB moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DB as a result. In 37 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DB turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.
The 10-day moving average for DB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
DB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 185 of 285 cases where DB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DB's P/B Ratio (0.756) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.321). P/E Ratio (9.649) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.505) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. DB's P/S Ratio (1.991) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.747).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a major bank
Industry RegionalBanks