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Jan 29, 2021
Diageo (DEO, $160.55) H1 earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Diageo (DEO, $160.55) H1 earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Beverage company Diageo’s earnings for the first half of the year beat analysts’ expectations.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

Related Ticker: DEO

DEO in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 08, 2026

DEO moved below its 50-day moving average on July 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 41 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where DEO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DEO as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DEO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DEO entered a downward trend on July 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DEO just turned positive on July 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where DEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for DEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DEO advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.874) is normal, around the industry mean (4.773). P/E Ratio (18.681) is within average values for comparable stocks, (130.508). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.792) is also within normal values, averaging (0.968). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.275) is also within normal values, averaging (10.539).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 100, placing this stock worse than average.

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 4.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.5K to 19.33T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.33T. The lowest valued company is SRSG at 1.5K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -36%. SBEV experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while YHC experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 91% and the average quarterly volume growth was 730%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 70
SMR Rating: 97
Profit Risk Rating: 100
Seasonality Score: 16 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of wine, beer and other beverages

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
16 Great Marlborough Street
Phone
+44 2079479100
Employees
30237
Web
https://www.diageo.com
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