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Jan 29, 2021

Diageo (DEO, $160.55) H1 earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Beverage company Diageo’s earnings for the first half of the year beat analysts’ expectations.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

Related Ticker: DEO

Momentum Indicator for DEO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

DEO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 20, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DEO just turned positive on February 20, 2024. Looking at past instances where DEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DEO moved above its 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 02, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DEO advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 244 cases where DEO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DEO moved out of overbought territory on February 28, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DEO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DEO's P/B Ratio (6.807) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.765). P/E Ratio (18.400) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.832) is also within normal values, averaging (2.133). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.606) is also within normal values, averaging (5.283).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 19.74B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.66K to 19.33T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.33T. The lowest valued company is WBEVQ at 2.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. SBEV experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while FMXUF experienced the biggest fall at -14%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 126%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 173% and the average quarterly volume growth was 124%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer of wine, beer and other beverages

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
16 Great Marlborough Street
Phone
+44 2079479100
Employees
30237
Web
https://www.diageo.com
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DEO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been loosely correlated with BUD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then BUD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To DEO
1D Price
Change %
DEO100%
-0.06%
BUD - DEO
66%
Loosely correlated
-0.33%
TAP - DEO
44%
Loosely correlated
-0.46%
STZ - DEO
40%
Loosely correlated
+0.60%
CCU - DEO
38%
Loosely correlated
+0.95%
ABEV - DEO
33%
Loosely correlated
-0.40%
More
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