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Jan 29, 2021
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Diageo (DEO, $160.55) H1 earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Diageo (DEO, $160.55) H1 earnings beat analysts’ expectations

Beverage company Diageo’s earnings for the first half of the year beat analysts’ expectations.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

The company’s adjusted earnings plunged almost -13% year-over-year to 69 (73 cents) per share, but surpassed the 67.8 pence analysts had expected. Higher operating costs and a stronger pound affected earnings.

The result was bolstered by strong demand in North America, with 80% of its sales coming from retail stores.

There was a +1% increase in organic net sales growth for the six months to Dec. 30, compared to a drop of -4.6% that analysts had expected.

While the company did not issue any specific annual sales guidance, it mentioned that it expected organic operating profit growth in the second half would be ahead of organic net sales growth in all regions, except in North America.

Related Ticker: DEO

DEO's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DEO moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DEO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

DEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DEO as a result. In 53 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DEO just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where DEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

DEO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 5 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 31%.

Following a +6.59% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DEO advanced for three days, in 116 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 54 of 161 cases where DEO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 34%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.101) is normal, around the industry mean (5.436). P/E Ratio (31.933) is within average values for comparable stocks, (71.272). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.545) is also within normal values, averaging (0.402). Dividend Yield (0.047) settles around the average of (0.088) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.469) is also within normal values, averaging (5.308).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 100, placing this stock worse than average.

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 7.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.75K to 14.38T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 14.38T. The lowest valued company is SRSG at 3.75K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was -6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20%. SNDL experienced the highest price growth at 14%, while YHC experienced the biggest fall at -40%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -30% and the average quarterly volume growth was -58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 98
Profit Risk Rating: 100
Seasonality Score: -12 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a producer of wine, beer and other beverages

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
16 Great Marlborough Street
Phone
+44 2079479100
Employees
27938
Web
https://www.diageo.com
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