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Feb 04, 2019
Discovery (DISCA) struggling to move past its 50-day moving average

Discovery (DISCA) struggling to move past its 50-day moving average

Media firm Discovery (Nasdaq: DISCA) has seen its post-Christmas rally stall earlier than most other stocks. Now, the stock could be hitting a key resistance point as it tries to return to November levels.

The stock had rallied nicely from November 2017 through this past November, with the stock price doubling from $17 to $34. Like many stocks, Discovery slipped in the fourth quarter and has rallied back from its December lows. Unfortunately, however, it looks as though the stock is having a problem with its 50-day moving average.

We see the trend line that connects the low closes from June through October and then the stock broke below that trend line in November. The stock tried to move back up in late November, but it was halted at the intersection of the former trend line and the 50-day moving average. The stock then proceeded to fall from the $32 area down to $24—a 25% drop.

The stock rallied from the $24 area over the past month and hit its 50-day moving average on Tuesday before pulling back. The stock proceeded to drop on Wednesday as the market was rallying sharply.

The Tickeron AI Prediction tool generated a bearish signal on Discovery on Monday and that signal had a confidence level of 88% for a decline of at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on Discovery have been accurate 73% of the time.

Related Ticker: WBD

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


WBD's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 6 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

WBD moved above its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WBD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WBD advanced for three days, in 190 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 116 of 164 cases where WBD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WBD moved out of overbought territory on August 31, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WBD as a result. In 75 of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WBD turned negative on September 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WBD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

WBD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WBD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.145) is normal, around the industry mean (20.500). P/E Ratio (93.862) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.816). WBD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (55.176) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.714). WBD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (1.969) is also within normal values, averaging (2.946).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WBD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Skydance Corporation (NASDAQ:PSKY), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 18.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 334.45B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 334.45B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. RDIB experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while KUST experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 64
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of multi-media educational and entertainment programming services

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Profile
Details
Industry
Cable Or Satellite TV
Address
230 Park Avenue South
Phone
+1 212 548-5555
Employees
35500
Web
https://www.wbd.com
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