Disney (DIS, $112.66) beat earnings expectation, but portends potential (temporary) side-effect of streaming ambition
Walt Disney’s first fiscal quarter earnings beat estimates. But, the entertainment giant expressed caution against a possible dent in profit as the company launches its own streaming service Disney+ and therefore potentially lose some of its licensing revenues.
The company’s earnings during the three months ending December came in at $1.84 per share, outpacing analysts’ expected $1.55 a share. They were, however, -3% lower compared to the year-ago quarter.
Revenue at $15.303 billion was higher than analysts’ estimate of $15.1 billion.
In April, Disney will launch its streaming platform Disney+ which will show movies and its original content. Due to its streaming business, the company estimates a probable reduction of $150 million from its operating income over the year as it anticipates losing out on licensing fees that it would've received from other providers. Also, streaming does have substantial costs in programming and technology. The company, however, seems to believe that by investing in new endeavors like Disney+ would help it achieve solid growth in the long-term, as indicated by CEO Bob Iger .
DIS's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on October 22, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 210 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 210 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 13, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIS as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
DIS moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DIS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.694) is normal, around the industry mean (20.407). P/E Ratio (15.223) is within average values for comparable stocks, (77.773). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (7.149) is also within normal values, averaging (5.236). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.000) is also within normal values, averaging (11.148).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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