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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 09, 2019

Disney(DIS, $114.96) gets rating upgrade, thanks to upcoming streaming service and line-up of new releases

Analysts at Cowen upgraded Disney stock, as they expect that the entertainment giant’s upcoming video streaming platform and the next ‘Star Wars’ would prove to be strong tailwinds.

Cowen raised its rating on Disney to outperform from market perform, and also increased its 12-month price target to $131 from $102. Cowen analyst Doug Creutz emphasized on the company's “very powerful pipeline of product” that he expects to boost the company’s performance over the rest of the year and the coming years as well. He estimates a $3 billion calendar year operating profit to come from Disney’s movie production unit Studio,  while being particularly optimistic about the Q4 calender year 2019 releases ‘Frozen 2’ and ‘Star Wars Episode IX’.

Cowen is also hopeful that Disney’s new streaming platform “is well positioned to have an extremely strong launch that surpasses consensus subscriber expectations”.

 

Related Ticker: DIS

DIS's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on April 14, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 207 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 207 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIS as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on April 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DIS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

DIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.213) is normal, around the industry mean (5.707). P/E Ratio (74.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.871) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.503) is also within normal values, averaging (30.155).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU), Paramount Global (NASDAQ:PARA), iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ), HUYA (NYSE:HUYA), AMC Entertainment Holdings (NYSE:AMC).

Industry description

Movies/entertainment industry include companies that produce and distribute motion pictures, and companies that operate general entertainment facilities like amusement parks and bowling centers. Some companies in this industry also have professional sports franchises. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc., Liberty Media Corp. and Viacom Inc. are some of the biggest companies in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Movies/Entertainment Industry is 10.24B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 134 to 262.83B. NFLX holds the highest valuation in this group at 262.83B. The lowest valued company is LRDG at 134.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 35%. DTTVY experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while NENTF experienced the biggest fall at -88%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Movies/Entertainment Industry was -30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 40% and the average quarterly volume growth was 88%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 82
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: TECHNOLOGY ETFs
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General Information

an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations

Industry MoviesEntertainment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Media Conglomerates
Address
500 South Buena Vista Street
Phone
+1 818 560-1000
Employees
225000
Web
https://www.thewaltdisneycompany.com
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