Disney (DIS, $128.86) gets earnings outlook cut from J.P. Morgan, on Fox assets costs and streaming spend
Disney got a lowered earnings outlook from a J.P. Morgan analyst, on costs related to streaming and integration of the Fox assets that it acquired this year.
Analyst Alexia Quadrani reduced her fourth-quarter earnings estimate to 95 cents a share from $1.05, and also cut her fiscal 2020 estimate to $5.50 from $6.30 on the entertainment company's shares.
However, Quadrani affirmed her overweight rating on the stock. Her December 2020 price target of $150 is the same as the firm's December 2019 price target.
Disney’s substantial spending on its new video streaming platform Disney+, coupled with costs involved in integrating Fox entertainment assets have put the stock at a vulnerable place in the near-term, according to J.P. Morgan. Disney bought several Fox assets, for $71 billion. It is planning to expand its direct-to-consumer offering as it launches Disney+ in November. The company said it would offer a limited-time three-year discounted subscription (which would be about $4 per month).
DIS in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on June 05, 2026
The 10-day moving average for DIS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIS as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on June 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
DIS moved below its 50-day moving average on June 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
DIS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on July 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.545) is normal, around the industry mean (12.656). P/E Ratio (15.472) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.221). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.248) is also within normal values, averaging (13.800). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.783) is also within normal values, averaging (3.002).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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