Disney (DIS, $128.86) gets earnings outlook cut from J.P. Morgan, on Fox assets costs and streaming spend
Disney got a lowered earnings outlook from a J.P. Morgan analyst, on costs related to streaming and integration of the Fox assets that it acquired this year.
Analyst Alexia Quadrani reduced her fourth-quarter earnings estimate to 95 cents a share from $1.05, and also cut her fiscal 2020 estimate to $5.50 from $6.30 on the entertainment company's shares.
However, Quadrani affirmed her overweight rating on the stock. Her December 2020 price target of $150 is the same as the firm's December 2019 price target.
Disney’s substantial spending on its new video streaming platform Disney+, coupled with costs involved in integrating Fox entertainment assets have put the stock at a vulnerable place in the near-term, according to J.P. Morgan. Disney bought several Fox assets, for $71 billion. It is planning to expand its direct-to-consumer offering as it launches Disney+ in November. The company said it would offer a limited-time three-year discounted subscription (which would be about $4 per month).
DIS sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
On February 06, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for DIS moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 68 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 68 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DIS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DIS as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on January 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
DIS moved below its 50-day moving average on February 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DIS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for DIS entered a downward trend on February 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.796) is normal, around the industry mean (18.358). P/E Ratio (16.194) is within average values for comparable stocks, (72.838). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.175) is also within normal values, averaging (13.472). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.073) is also within normal values, averaging (6.168).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment
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